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Highlights

Weekly financial market overview 20.09.-26.09.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week Last week, the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) lowered its forecast for global economic growth for 2021 to 5.7% from the previously expected 5.8%. The forecast for global GDP growth for 2022 has been improved to 4.5% from 4.4%. The OECD report says that the global economy is growing much faster than could be expected a year ago, but its recovery remains uneven, which puts a number of risks in developed and developing countries alike. The OECD also notes that massive incentives from governments and central banks helped to avoid the worst when the pandemic began. World GDP has so far exceeded pre-pandemic levels, but in many countries, especially in developing countries where vaccination rates are low, the lag behind pre-crisis indicators in both GDP and employment remains. The OECD believes that the economic impact of the new COVID-19 delta strain is still rather weak for countries with a high proportion of vaccinated populations, but this factor has slowed the momentum for economic growth and increased pressure on supply chains as well as prices. A sharp increase in inflation rates is apparent in the USA, Canada, Great Britain and some developing countries, but in many other developed countries, especially in Europe and Asia, inflation remains quite low. The US Federal Reserve kept its base interest rate at 0-0.25%. The Open Market Committee believes it would be prudent to maintain this range until labor market conditions reach levels in line with estimates of maximum employment and inflation rises to the 2% target. The Fed will also continue to buy at least $80 billion in Treasury bonds monthly and mortgage-backed securities (MBS) for at least $40 billion monthly. However, according to the committee, a slowdown in the pace of asset purchases may soon be required if the development of the economy as a whole meets its expectations. The Fed also lowered its forecast for the country's GDP growth in 2021 to 5.9% from 7%. At the same time, the forecast for the growth of the American economy for 2022 and 2023 was improved to 3.8% from 3.3% and to 2.5% from 2.4%, respectively. In 2024, US GDP is projected at 2%. The Fed also raised its forecast for inflation in 2021 to 4.2% from 3.4%, in 2022 - to 2.2% from 2.1%. In 2023 and 2024, inflation is expected at 2.2% and 2.1%, respectively. The forecast for US unemployment in 2022 was downgraded to 4.8% from 4.5%. In 2022 and 2023, this indicator is projected at the level of 3.8% and 3.5%, in 2024 - at the level of 3.5%. Among other things, all 18 committee members kept the forecast for the base interest rate in 2021 at the level of 0-0.25%. As for the following years, nine members of the committee in 2022 are in favor of keeping the rate at the same level, six for an increase from 0.25-0.5%, three for an increase to 0.5-0.75%. At the same time, in 2023, most committee members expect the rate to rise to 1-1.25%. In 2024, the largest number predicts an increase to 2-2.25%. The Bank of Japan left its monetary policy unchanged following its meeting on September 22, but worsened its assessment of exports and industrial production. The Japanese central bank kept the short-term interest rate at minus 0.1%, and the benchmark for the yield of 10-year government bonds - at about 0%. With this, the regulator has strengthened expectations that large-scale incentives will not go anywhere in the foreseeable future, although many large economies have already begun to think about curtailing emergency measures to support the economy. The regulator retained the overall assessment of the Japanese economy, noting that it is in a growing trend, but remains in dire straits due to the effects of the pandemic. The Bank of England at the meeting ended September 22, kept the base interest rate at 0.1% per annum. The committee also advocated maintaining the volume of asset purchases financed by the Central Bank issue at £20 billion and continuing the UK government bond purchase program in the amount of £875 billion. This brings the overall target for asset purchases to £895bn. The regulator added that at its previous meeting, the committee indicated the possible need for some tightening of monetary policy if the economy develops in accordance with baseline forecasts. However, despite the supporting factors, significant doubts remain. Economic data Eurozone. According to the preliminary assessment of the PMI business activity index in September, the indicator decreased by 2.9 points compared to the previous month and amounted to 56.1 points. Of the indicators that make up the index, business activity in the service sector was 2.7 points lower, and the state of the manufacturing sector also fell 2.7 points. US. According to the preliminary assessment of the PMI business activity index in September, the indicator decreased by 0.9 points compared to the previous month and amounted to 54.5 points. Of the indicators that make up the index, business activity in the service sector was 0.7 points lower, and the state of the manufacturing sector also decreased by 0.6 points. The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 351 thousand, which is 16 thousand more than the previous week and 31 thousand more than predicted by analysts. Key events this week On Monday, data on sales of durable goods in the US for August will become available. On Thursday, China will know the level of business activity in the industrial sector in September, and the US will publish the number of initial claims for the week, and will also publish the latest estimate of GDP growth for the second quarter. On Friday, the Eurozone will report on the rise in prices for September, and the US will publish data on personal income and personal spending of Americans.     The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Weekly financial market overview 13.09.-19.09.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week Rating agencies Fitch, as well as S&P have increased investor fears that the default of one of the largest Chinese developers in China - Evergrande, carries huge risks to both the financial stability of China and the global economy. Against the backdrop of a wave of defaults by Chinese companies on debt obligations that swept the market in the first half of 2021, the current state of Evergrande, whose liabilities are approximately equal to 2% of Chinese GDP, are already being compared with the bankruptcy of the American investment bank Lehman Brothers. It was this that became the starting point of the "Great Recession" of 2008. In August, news emerged of a possible default by the second largest development group in China, the Evergrande Group. The company itself denied them, but after a few days it published a rather poor report on financial condition, which in particular highlighted the problem with liquidity. Market concerns were also confirmed by Fitch, which warned of the "systemic risk" of the company's default. Fitch also emphasizes that the Chinese government will not allow a situation of a sharp increase in prices for housing, credit and mortgage products, but the threshold at which it fully intervenes in the situation is very high. A scenario in which a developer's default will affect the entire real estate market in China and will have wider macroeconomic consequences, Fitch called it unlikely. But it is worth noting that if this "unlikely" scenario were to happen, more than 250 banks and non-bank companies, to which Evergreen owes more than $300 billion (even the Chinese government cannot provide an accurate estimate of the debt), as well as more than 200 thousand full-time employees and almost 4 million people that Evergrande employs for project work will suffer. Moreover, the subsidiaries of Evergrande Group have already defaulted in amount of $145 million. Much more pessimistic estimates are given by the international agency S&P, which downgraded the rating of the developer and its subsidiaries from CCC to CC, calling it a default “inevitable”. S&P said in a press release that S&P downgraded Evergrande because the company's liquidity appears to be depleted, the risk of non-payment is extremely high and could eventually lead to debt restructuring, which means that a default scenario is almost inevitable. Recall that in the first half of 2021, the volume of defaults by Chinese companies on debt obligations amounted to almost $10 billion - the largest figure in history. Perhaps this is why the likely default of Evergrande has been compared to Lehman Brothers. After all, the global financial crisis began with the US mortgage crisis in 2007, after which the fall of one of the country's largest banks started the Great Recession. Economic data Eurozone. The consumer price index in August rose by 0.4% versus July, while the annual inflation rate was 3%. The growth of the core inflation rate excluding food and energy in August amounted to 1.6% yoy. Industrial production in July increased by 7.7% compared to July 2020, which exceeded expectations by 1.5%. US. Retail sales rose 0.7% in August, while retail sales were expected to decline 0.8%. In turn, excluding data on gasoline and car sales from the indicator, retail sales in August rose by 1.8%. The consumer price index in August rose by 0.3% against July, while the annual inflation rate was 5.3%. The growth of the core inflation rate, excluding food and energy resources, in August amounted to 4% yoy. The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 332 thousand, which is 20 thousand more than the week before and 2 thousand more than predicted by analysts. China. Industrial production in August increased by 5.3% compared to August 2020, which was a slowdown in industrial growth, as an increase of 5.8% was expected. Retail sales rose 2% in August, while retail sales were expected to grow by 7%. The unemployment rate in August remained at the July level and amounted to 5.1%. Key events this week On Wednesday, the US will publish data on home sales in the secondary market for August, as well as changes in oil reserves for the week, in turn, the Fed will publish its decision on the interest rate and will give its assessment of the US economy. On Thursday, the level of business activity in September will become known in the Eurozone and the US, as well as the number of initial jobless claims for the week that will be published in the US. On Friday, the US will publish data on new home sales for August.     The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Weekly financial market overview 16.08.-22.08.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week On August 18th the Fed published minutes from the last meeting that was held in July. From the minutes, it appears that representatives of the regulator's management are increasingly agreeing that the Fed should begin to taper the asset repurchase program this year. The minutes suggest that most participants of the Fed's leadership believe that the US economy has recovered enough for the Fed to start rolling back stimulus measures by the end of this year. Recently, more and more participants of the Fed leadership have been supporting the tapering of stimulus measures. In turn, the head of the Fed, Jerome Powell, noted that it is not yet clear how the US economy will cope with the next surge of COVID-19. Powell did not comment on what will happen next with the Fed's policy, and did not elaborate on how, in his opinion, the economy will behave in the coming months. The statistics released on August 18 indicated a more significant-than-expected drop in the number of new buildings in the US in July. The number of homes that began construction in the United States in July fell by 7% from the previous month to 1.534 million at an annual rate. According to the revised data, in June the number of new buildings was 1.65 million, not 1.643 million, as previously announced. Experts on average predicted a decrease in the number of new buildings in the United States in July by 2.6% compared to the previously announced level of last month - to 1.6 million. Economic data US. The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 348 thousand, which is 29 thousand less than the week before and 15 thousand less than predicted by analysts. The volume of retail sales in July decreased by 1.1% versus June, while the growth rate of the retail trade was expected to decrease by 0.3%. In turn, excluding data on gasoline and car sales from the indicator, retail sales in July fell by only 0.4%. China. Retail sales rose 8.5% in July compared to July 2020, while retail sales were expected to grow by 11.5%. Industrial production in July rose 6.4% compared to July 2020, while industrial growth was expected to be 7.8%. The unemployment rate in July rose by 0.1 percentage points and amounted to 5.1%. Key events this week  On Monday, the level of business activity in August will be known in the Eurozone and the United States. On Wednesday, the US will report on sales of durable goods for the month of July, and will also publish data on changes in oil inventories for the week. On Thursday, the US is to publish data on the number of initial jobless claims for the week. On Friday, the United States will report on personal expenses and incomes of citizens for the month of July. The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Weekly financial market overview 02.08.-08.08.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week The International Monetary Fund will provide a record $650 billion from reserve assets. This is the largest disbursement of funds in the history of the IMF. From this amount, $275 billion will go to emerging market and developing countries. The decision will come into force on 23 August. The funds will be transferred to the member countries of the fund in proportion to quotas. According to Georgieva, the allocation of these funds will serve the benefit of all member states, will help meet the long-term global need for reserves, as well as build confidence, strengthen the resilience and stability of the global economy. At the end of July, the IMF clarified its forecasts for the growth of world economies, according to which the global economy will grow by 6% this year and 4.9% next year. The overall estimate for the current year has not changed, but for developing countries, the forecast was lowered by 0.4 percentage points to 6.3%. The Bank of England last week kept its key rate at a historically low level of 0.1%. In the monetary policy report published on August 5, the regulator raised the inflation forecast, according to which the rate of price growth could reach 4% y/y in the fourth quarter of 2021, after which it will begin to decline. The forecast for a peak of 4% is significantly higher than the regulator's previous estimate of 2.5%, made in May. But the level of 2.5% was reached already in June, which forced the regulator to revise the forecast trajectory of inflation. The volume of purchased corporate and government bonds was also kept at the current level: 20 billion pounds sterling and 875 billion pounds, respectively. However, there are already calls within the Bank of England for a reduction in the quantitative easing program to reduce price pressure. The Bank of England may begin to reduce purchases of government bonds if it comes to the conclusion that inflation is protracted, as well as with the appropriate actions of the Fed. Economic data Eurozone. Following the final revision of the PMI in July, the index rose 0.7 points to 60.2. Of the indicators that make up the index, business activity in the service sector was 1.5 points lower, while the state of the manufacturing sector fell 0.6 points. US. The unemployment rate in July fell by 0.5 percentage points and amounted to 5.4%, yet the number of new jobs in the non-agricultural sector amounted to 943 thousand, which is 73 thousand more than expected and 5 thousand more than a month earlier. As a result of the final revision of the PMI in July, the index decreased by 3.8 points to 59.9. Of the indicators that make up the index, business activity in the service sector was lower by 4.7 points, while the state of the manufacturing sector increased by 1.3 points. The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 385 thousand, which is 14 thousand less than the week before and 1 thousand more than predicted by analysts. The trade deficit in June reached a record high of $75.75 billion. Exports grew 0.6% in June, while imports grew by 2.1%. China. The trade surplus in July was $56.58 billion. Export growth in July amounted to 19.3% compared to July 2020, while import growth amounted to 28.1% over the same period. According to the assessment of the Caixin Bank, in July the PMI in the manufacturing sector fell by 1 point and amounted to 50.3 points, in turn, according to the National Bureau of Statistics of China, the PMI Manufacturing in July was 50.4 points. Key events this week  The inflation rate in China will be announced on Monday. On Wednesday, the inflation rate in July, as well as the change in oil reserves for the week will be published in the US. On Thursday the Eurozone will report on industrial production for June, and the US will publish the number of initial jobless claims for the week. On Friday, the trade balance data for June will be announced in the Eurozone. The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Weekly financial market overview 26.07.-01.08.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week The International Monetary Fund has issued a warning that while the global economic recovery continues, the gap between prosperous countries and countries with developing and emerging markets is widening. Experts have left the latest forecast of global economic growth at 6% this year, but its structure has changed, which is due to a much more restrained assessment of the prospects for Asian countries. Next year, global GDP growth is expected to reach 4.9%. The IMF proposes to allocate 43 billion euros in order to guarantee an additional 11 billion doses in the medium term. Experts point out that forecast revisions are largely a consequence of differences in the dynamics of the pandemic. In many wealthy countries, 40% of the population is already vaccinated, while in developing countries this figure does not exceed 11%. The highest economic growth in the current year is observed in the United States. The IMF says policy decisions are another reason for widening the gap. Due to state support measures, the forecast for the Eurozone countries has also been revised for the better. Due to the reduction in government investment, the forecast for China was lowered. The US Federal Reserve has kept its benchmark interest rate at 0-0.25% and believes that it would be advisable to maintain this range until conditions in the labor market reach levels corresponding to the estimates of maximum employment, and the growth of inflation - target 2%. The Fed noted that, thanks to progress in vaccinations and strong political support, indicators of economic activity and employment continued to strengthen. The sectors hardest hit by the pandemic are also seeing improvement, but have not fully recovered. Inflation has risen, largely due to transition factors. The American regulator intends to continue buying Treasury bonds for at least $80 billion monthly, as well as mortgage-backed securities (MBS) for at least $40 billion monthly. Economic data Eurozone. According to preliminary calculations, GDP in the second quarter grew by 13.7% year over year (compared to the second quarter of 2020), while GDP growth compared to the first quarter of 2021 was 2%. The consumer price index in July fell by 0.1% versus June, while the annual inflation rate was 2.2%. The growth of the core inflation rate, excluding food and energy resources, amounted to 0.7% y/y in July. The unemployment rate in June fell by 0.3 percentage points and amounted to 7.7%. US. According to preliminary calculations, GDP in the second quarter grew by 6.5% year on year (compared to the first quarter of 2021), while GDP growth was projected in the second quarter of 8.5% y/y. The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 400 thousand, which is 24 thousand less than the week before and 20 thousand more than predicted by analysts. The volume of orders for durable goods in June increased by 0.8% versus May, in turn, the growth of the basic indicator, which does not include civil aviation, amounted to 1%. In June, the level of personal income increased by 0.1% mom, while the level of personal spending increased by 1% in June. Key events this week  On Wednesday, the final results of the state of the business sector in July in the Eurozone, the United States and China will become known, while the United States will also report on changes in oil reserves for the week. On Thursday, the US is to publish data on the trade balance for June, as well as the number of initial jobless claims for the week. On Friday, the US will report on the state of the labor market for the month of July. The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Weekly financial market overview 19.07.-25.07.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week Following the meeting of the Board of Governors of the ECB, the Central Bank kept the base interest rate on loans at zero. The rate on deposits also remained at the same level - minus 0.5%, the rate on short-term loans from the ECB - at 0.25%. The Governing Council expects key interest rates to remain at or below current levels until the inflation forecast steadily approaches 2%. In addition, the regulator will continue the bond buyback program (PEPP) in connection with the pandemic - for a total of €1.85 trillion. The Governing Council will pursue PEPP net purchases until at least the end of March 2022 or until it decides that the coronavirus crisis phase is over. The ECB stressed that purchases under the PEPP in the next quarter will continue to be carried out at a significantly higher pace than in the first months of this year. Reinvestment of the main payments on securities purchased under the PEPP is planned to continue until at least the end of 2023. The ECB will also continue its € 20 billion monthly asset repurchase (APP) program. At the same time, the reinvestment of payments on securities purchased under this program will also take place long after the start of the phase of raising key interest rates. The third series of the long-term liquidity program for European banks, TLTRO III will also continue to support bank lending to firms and households. The Governing Council reaffirmed that it is ready, if necessary, to adjust all its instruments to ensure that inflation is moving towards its target. Economic data Eurozone. According to the results of the primary assessment of the PMI business activity index in July, the indicator increased by 1.1 points and amounted to 60.6. Of the indicators that make up the index, business activity in the service sector was 2.1 points higher, while the state of the manufacturing sector fell 0.8 points. US. The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 419 thousand, which is 51 thousand more than the previous week and 69 thousand more than predicted by analysts. According to the results of the primary assessment of the PMI business activity index in July, the indicator decreased by 4 points and amounted to 59.7. Of the indicators that make up the index, business activity in the service sector was 4.8 points lower, and the state of the manufacturing sector increased by 1 point. Key events this week  On Tuesday, the US will publish data on sales of durable goods for June. On Wednesday, the US will report on changes in oil reserves for the week and the Fed will publish its decision on the key interest rate. On Thursday, the growth of US GDP for the second quarter, as well as the number of initial jobless claims for the week, will become known. On Friday, data on GDP growth in the second quarter, inflation in July and unemployment in June will be published in the Eurozone, and in the United States will report on personal income and expenses of Americans for June.   The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Weekly financial market overview 05.07.-11.07.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week On July 10, in Venice, the finance ministers of the G20 countries agreed to introduce a minimum tax of 15 percent for globally active companies. The G20 finance ministers called on countries that have so far rejected the plans to join the agreement, which should create a "more stable and equitable international tax architecture." In early July, the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) announced that 130 countries, which account for 90 percent of the global economy, had agreed that the minimum tax rate for large corporations would be at least 15 percent. We are talking about the so-called digital tax - a tax on the profits of multinational companies in the digital economy. A month earlier, the G7 countries, after years of discussion, reached an agreement on the establishment of such a tax, expressing their intention to achieve its introduction around the world in order to put an end to unfair tax competition between states. In some countries, there is resistance to the introduction of such a tax. In particular, Ireland and Hungary have not signed the OECD agreement. In the published minutes from the last meeting of the FED on June 15-16, it is said that the conditions for the start of a slowdown in the rate of redemption of assets from the market may come earlier than expected. The minutes indicated that some participants called on the committee for patience in assessing progress towards the goals and announcing changes to the buyout plans. In general, participants agreed that it is important to be able to slow down the rate of securities purchases if necessary. Although the regulator raised the average inflation forecast for the current year by 1 percentage point (to 3.4% from 2.4%), the increase in forecasts for 2022-2023 was only 0.1 percentage points, which indicates a decrease in inflationary pressure. Participants continue to expect that this year's inflation jump will be temporary, as it is caused by temporary factors in supply and demand, the document says. During the meeting, the committee members also noted the improvement in the labor market. As indicated by the Fed, some participants mentioned that while the indicators are far from the target and turned out to be weaker than expected, while the recovery has been uneven. Some members of the meeting expect the labor shortage to ease by the fall as the vaccination program progresses. The next meeting is scheduled for July 27-28. Economic data Eurozone. Retail sales rose 4.6% in May versus April, while retail sales were expected to grow at 3.7%. In turn, on an annualized basis, retail sales in May rose by 9%. US. The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 373 thousand, which is 2 thousand more than the previous week and 23 thousand more than predicted by analysts. China. The consumer price index in June fell by 0.4% versus May, while the annual inflation rate was 1.1%. Key events this week  On Tuesday, the US will report on the rise in prices for June, and China will publish data on the trade balance, also for June. On Wednesday, the Eurozone will publish data on industrial production for May, and the US will report on changes in oil reserves for the week. On Thursday, the US will know the number of initial jobless claims for the week, and China will publish data on GDP growth for the second quarter, as well as industrial production, retail trade and the state of the labor sector in June. The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Weekly financial market overview 28.06.-04.07.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week According to the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), in talks on a global minimum tax for large corporations on July 2, 130 countries, which account for 90 percent of the global economy, agreed that the tax rate would be at least 15 percent. A historic agreement between 130 countries guarantees that the largest companies will pay at least $100 billion in taxes a year, with the bulk of this money paid in the countries where the companies do their business. According to German Finance Minister Olaf Scholz, the time for the race between different countries to provide the lowest tax is over. US President Joe Biden said the agreement would make the global economy fairer for middle-class workers and families in the US and around the world. According to the Minister of Economy of France Bruno Le Maire, this is the most important international tax agreement in the last hundred years. In early June, the G7 countries reached an agreement on the introduction of a tax on profits of multinational companies in the digital economy in the amount of at least 15 percent. Now they want to get it enacted around the world to put an end to dishonest tax competition between states. G20 finance ministers will discuss the issue at a meeting in Venice this week. There is resistance in some countries to the introduction of such tax. In particular, Ireland and Hungary have not signed the OECD agreement. Ireland has a minimum tax rate of 12.5 percent, which attracts European subsidiaries of American tech companies such as Facebook, Google and Apple to the country. Even lower are the nominal rates in Hungary and Bulgaria. Economic data Eurozone. The consumer price index in June rose by 0.3% versus May, while the annual inflation rate was 1.9%. The growth of the core inflation rate, excluding food and energy, amounted to 0.9% y/y in June. The unemployment rate in May fell by 0.2 percentage points and amounted to 7.9%. US. The unemployment rate in June rose by 0.1 percentage points to 5.9%, and the number of non-farm payrolls amounted to 850 thousand, which is 150 thousand more than expected and 267 thousand more than a month earlier. The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 364 thousand, which is 51 thousand less than the previous week and 26 thousand less than predicted by analysts. China. According to the Caixin Bank, in June, the PMI in the manufacturing sector decreased by 0.7 points and amounted to 51.3 points, in turn, according to the National Bureau of Statistics of China, the PMI Manufacturing in June was 50.9 points. Key events this week On Wednesday, in US data on changes in oil reserves will be published for the week, in turn, FED will publish the minutes from the last meeting of the committee. On Thursday, the US is to publish data on the number of initial jobless claims for the week. On Friday, the rise in prices for June in China will become known. The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Weekly financial market overview 21.06.-27.06.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week The Bank of England has kept its base interest rate at 0.1% per annum. The asset purchase program maintained at £895 billion. At the meeting ending June 22, 2021, the Bank of England committee ruled that the current monetary policy stance remains adequate and voted unanimously to keep the bank rate at 0.1%. The committee also advocated keeping the volume of purchases of assets financed through the issue of the Central Bank at £20 billion. In addition, the regulator will continue the program of purchasing UK government bonds in the amount of £875 billion. Thus, the overall target for the volume of asset purchases will remain at the level £895 billion. Economic data Eurozone. According to the preliminary assessment of the PMI business activity index in June, the indicator increased by 2.1 points and amounted to 59.2. Of the indicators that make up the index, business activity in the service sector was higher by 2.8 points, while the state of the manufacturing sector remained at the previous level. US. According to the preliminary assessment of the PMI business activity index in June, the indicator decreased by 4.8 points and amounted to 63.9. Of the indicators that make up the index, business activity in the service sector was 5.6 points lower, while the state of the manufacturing sector increased by 0.5 points. The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 411 thousand, which is 7 thousand less than the week before and 31 thousand more than predicted by analysts. The volume of orders for durable goods in May increased by 2.3% versus the previous month. The growth of the base indicator, which does not include civil aviation, was 0.3%. In May, the level of personal income, as expected, decreased by 2% mom, while the level of personal spending remained unchanged in May, after growing 0.9% in April. Key events this week On Wednesday, preliminary data on the inflation will be published in the Eurozone for June, while the US will report on changes in oil reserves for the week. On Thursday, the US will publish the number of initial jobless claims for the week. On Friday, the US will publish data on the state of the labor market in June. The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Modified Schedule Announcement

Dear Clients, We will work according to the following schedule during the Midsummer holidays. 22.06.2021: banking services will be available in a face-to-face setting on a reduced schedule until 4:00 pm 23.06.2021 and 24.06.2021: we will serve the clients remotely on a reduced schedule until 1:00 pm 25.06.2021: we will operate as usual (from 9:30 am to 5:00 pm) Please plan your financial transactions in a timely manner.   Wish you happy Midsummer’s Eve celebration!

Weekly financial market overview 14.06.-20.06.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week The US Federal Reserve has decided to maintain its target range for the federal funds rate at 0-0.25% and believes that it would be appropriate to maintain this range until conditions in the labor market reach levels corresponding to estimates of maximum employment, and inflation - target 2%. At the same time, all 18 members of the committee predict the base interest rate in 2021 at the level of 0-0.25% and its increase in 2023. Thirteen members of the committee in 2023 are in favor of raising the rate from 0.25-0.5% to 1.5-1.75%, only five are in favor of keeping it at the current level. According to the regulator's estimates, until 2022 inclusive, the rate will average 0.1%, in 2023 - 0.6%. In the long term, the US Federal Reserve expects the rate to be around 2.5% per annum. In addition to maintaining the rate at current levels, the Fed plans to continue purchasing at least $80 billion of Treasuries monthly, as well as Mortgage-backed Securities at least $40 billion monthly in the coming months, until significant progress is made to reach maximum employment and price stability. The June meeting of the US regulator was also accompanied by a positive update of economic forecasts. In particular, the Fed raised its forecast for the country's GDP growth in 2021 to 7% from 6.5%. The economic growth forecast for 2022 was maintained at 3.3%. At the end of 2023, an increase of 2.4% is expected against the previously forecasted 2.2%. The Fed believes that progress in vaccination has reduced the spread of COVID-19 in the United States. Against the backdrop of this progress, as well as political support, indicators of economic activity and employment improved. Industries hardest hit by the pandemic remain weak, but are seeing improvement. The US regulator also improved its forecast for unemployment in 2022 to 3.8% from 3.9%. In 2021, the unemployment rate is expected to be around 4.5%, in 2023 - 3.5%. The forecast for US inflation in 2021 was increased to 3.4% from 2.4%, in 2022 - to 2.1% from 2%, in 2023 - to 2.2% from 2.1%. According to the committee's estimates, the rise in inflation is associated with temporary factors. At the same time, the general financial conditions remain favorable, but risks to the economic outlook remain, the committee members believe. Economic data Eurozone. The consumer price index in May rose 0.3% versus April, while the annual inflation rate was 2%. The growth of the core inflation rate, excluding food and energy, amounted to 1% y/y in May. The volume of industrial production in April increased by 0.8% versus March, in turn, the growth in the volume of industrial production in annual terms amounted to 39.3%. US. The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 412 thousand, which is 37 thousand more than the week before and 61 thousand more than predicted by analysts. The volume of retail sales in May fell by 1.3%, in turn, excluding data on the sale of gasoline and cars from the indicator, retail sales in May decreased by only 0.7%. The volume of industrial production in May increased by 0.8% versus April, in turn, the growth in the volume of industrial production in annual terms amounted to 16.3%. China. Growth in retail sales in May was slightly lower than expected and amounted to 12.4% versus May 2020. The volume of industrial production as expected in May increased by 8.8% compared to May 2020. The unemployment rate in May fell by 0.1 percentage points and amounted to exactly 5%. Key events this week On Wednesday, the level of business activity in June will become known in the Eurozone and the United States, also US will report on changes in oil reserves for the week. On Thursday, the US is to publish data on sales of durable goods for May, as well as the number of initial jobless claims for the week. On Friday, data on personal income and expenses of Americans for the month of May will become known. The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Baltic International Bank keeps its BBB+ financial crime compliance rating and takes its place among industry leaders!

Sigma Ratings, a New York-based rating agency, assigned repeatedly a BBB+ financial crime compliance rating to Baltic International Bank, whilst highlighting a number of improvements made by the Bank since 2019 when the BBB+ rating had been assigned to it for the first time. By assigning the BBB+ rating, Sigma Ratings has placed the Bank in Sigma’s ‘Industry Leader’ category. The outlook for BIB is neutral, primarily due to its geographic exposure and global operational footprint. Viktors Bolbats, Chairperson of the Management Board of the Bank, commented on the rating received: “We are truly delighted that the Bank has managed to keep its positive BBB+ rating, which is the result of a considerable amount of work accomplished by the Bank since 2019". Being recognised as industry leaders in this review is a further positive indication that allows the Bank to continue its work as an important local capital bank and contribute to the development of the public financial sector.” In its report, Sigma Ratings pointed out that since the last review, specific work has been done by BIB to strengthen its approach to financial crime compliance including: i) de-risking from higher risk accounts; ii) re-focusing on the local market and broader opportunities in the European Union. This is part of a change in strategy for BIB, as well as a push by the Latvian regulator to encourage the regulator sector to reduce its risk exposure. According to the report, the Bank has succeeded in keeping its current executive team, including key members of the compliance team despite a challenging market environment that includes both internal and external pressure. Moreover, since its last rating, the number of dollar-related payments reduced significantly. “Baltic International Bank’s rating reflects our view that, despite increasing geopolitical tensions, the institution has improved its control framework since its last review in 2019. Specifically, a number of the areas identified by Sigma as part of the initial rating were addressed, as well as further de-risking of its customer base and an increased focus on financial crime compliance from an audit and risk assessment perspective”, the report notes.  Sigma Ratings, Inc. (“Sigma”) is pioneering a technology-driven approach to understanding non-credit counterparty risk. Sigma issues ratings on company-level financial crime risk posture and utilizes a technology-driven approach to score millions of companies globally. Sigma’s leadership team includes professionals with more than 100 years of combined experience, including deep domain knowledge on counter illicit finance-related matters as senior U.S. Government, legal, banking and finance experts. The company is based in the United States of America and operates globally offering unique risk insights into a range of clients including financial institutions and investment firms, multinational companies, insurance firms and governments.

Make profit investing in the co-financing of bank’s projects!

Alternative investment product: in partnership with Baltic International Bank you have the opportunity to co-finance (credit) business projects of private persons or legal entities and companies of the Bank’s choice to which the Bank has granted or is considering granting a loan.   Using these services: You will receive fixed income in the medium and long-term; Your investments will not be subjected to the fluctuations of the financial markets; Be ready to bear the credit risks related to the implementation of business projects.   Advantages: You participate in the development of sustainable business projects co-financed by the Bank and thoroughly assessed by the specialists of Baltic International Bank; Specialists of the Bank control and monitor development of the business project throughout its entire course of implementation; Investments are guaranteed with a material value (real estate, land, assets of the borrower); After entering into the trust agreement the assets are segregated from the assets of the Bank; Twice a year you will receive information about the status of Business project (credit) – financial situation of the borrower and fulfilment of the borrower’s obligations in frame of the loan agreement, main changes during the reporting period, trends in the operating area of the borrower, analysis of the market situation in the borrower’s area of activity.     Bank can offer solutions and support, if you are efficiently planning the cash flow of your company, want to fund related enterprises or companies in the holding structure.   APPLY FOR CONSULTATION     Investment opportunities   Baltic International Bank offers an innovative investment calculator, a tool where you can get acquainted with the Bank's current offer and select and choose different investment products according to your interests, find out the key indicators, i.e. the expected return, terms, possible risks, as well as apply for a consultation with the Bank's investment specialist.   FIND OUT MORE   Co-financing of business projects is an alternative investment instrument for investors seeking investment opportunities that are not directly influenced by financial markets fluctuations and are ready to bear increased risks associated with the implementation of the respective business projects. By investing with the help of this instrument, you participate in the development of long-term business projects co-financed by the Bank and thoroughly assessed by the specialists of Baltic International Bank. A transaction is done on the basis of a trust management contract, allowing for additional protection of your capital, as your assets are segregated from those of the Bank’s. You may choose investment projects from the list of business projects offered and co-financed by Baltic International Bank. Before a project is offered, specialists of the Bank conduct a comprehensive analysis of its business plan and financial stability, thus ensuring that the customer’s investments are safe. The Bank ensures the implementation of the loan process and provides comprehensive legal supervision and full further administration until the end of the investment term. This entails analysing the borrower’s financial situation, payment discipline, legal position, the eligibility of collateral, and other material aspects of an investment transaction

Baltic International Bank is awarded the Platinum Category on the Sustainability Index for the third time!

For the third consecutive year, Baltic International Bank has been bestowed a high-level Sustainability Index award, winning the Platinum Category on the Sustainability Index 2020. Baltic International Bank is the only domestic capital bank to receive this prestigious recognition, and one of the three banks, alongside Swedbank and SEB Banka, to be awarded the Platinum Category. The Platinum Category is awarded to companies that have fully integrated corporate governance into their operations and in which responsible persons have been appointed at both the managerial and executive levels. These companies systematically collect data and assess impact. They report on their activities with a high level of transparency and engaging stakeholders, and their published data was approved by the external auditor. Twenty-three companies qualified for the highest – Platinum Category in the assessment for 2020, and the total performance of the participants under evaluation this year has reached 79.5%, which is 31.6% more than in the first evaluation in 2010, when the average performance of companies was 47.9%. Last year, the total performance of the participants under evaluation was equal to 75.4%. “It has been a long time since sustainability ceased to be a fashion trend in the corporate environment. Recent Eurobarometer data demonstrate that nine out of ten Europeans are concerned about sustainability issues, and that means only one thing: companies which adhere to the principles of corporate sustainability and responsibility in their daily operations are the leaders of the future. Therefore, it is encouraging that more and more organisations in Latvia are starting to think about sustainable and responsible business practices,” says Dace Helmane, CEO of the Institute for Corporate Sustainability and Responsibility and Coordinator of the Sustainability Index. The Sustainability Index is a strategic management tool which uses the principles of the internationally approved methodology to assess the principles of the risk and process management of organisations. The results of this assessment show that over the 12 years of its existence, the understanding of Latvian organisations about the principles of responsible business has grown significantly.    

Weekly financial market overview 07.06.-13.06.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week The ECB has kept the base interest rate on loans at zero. The rate on deposits also remained at the same level - minus 0.5%, the rate on short-term loans at 0.25%. The Governing Council expects key interest rates to remain at or below current levels until the inflation forecast steadily approaches below 2%. In addition, the regulator will continue the bond buyback program (PEPP) in connection with the pandemic - for a total of € 1.85 trillion. The ECB will conduct net purchases under the PEPP at least until the end of March 2022 or until it decides that the coronavirus crisis phase is over. PEPP purchases in the next quarter will continue to be at a significantly higher pace than in the first months of this year, the regulator said, adding that procurement will be flexible, in accordance with market conditions. The regulator also aims to prevent a possible tightening of financing conditions, which would prevent the reduction of the impact of the pandemic on the inflation target. Reinvestment of the main payments on securities purchased under the PEPP is planned to continue until at least the end of 2023. The ECB will also continue its € 20 billion monthly asset repurchase (APP) program. At the same time, the reinvestment of payments on securities purchased under this program will also take place long after the start of the phase of raising key interest rates. The third series of the long-term liquidity program for European banks, TLTRO III will also continue to support bank lending to firms and households. The Governing Council stands ready to adjust all of its instruments as necessary to ensure that inflation is moving steadily towards its goal. At a press conference following the meeting of the ECB Board of Governors, the head of the financial regulator Christine Lagarde said that the Eurozone’s GDP in 2021 will grow by 4.6%, which is significantly higher than the March forecasts. Over the medium term, the Eurozone economic recovery is expected to be supported by stronger global and domestic demand, as well as continued support for both monetary and fiscal policy. At the same time, Lagarde added that this estimate is widely represented in the baseline scenario of the ECB's macroeconomic forecasts for June 2021. These projections assume annual real GDP growth of 4.6% in 2021, 4.7% in 2022 and 2.1% in 2023. Thus, compared to the March estimates of the ECB, the GDP growth forecast has been revised upward for 2021 and 2022, while for 2023 it has remained unchanged. Following the G7 summit held in Britain, the leaders of the G7 countries issued a joint communique, in which they highlighted agreements on three main topics of the meeting: the fight against coronavirus, economic recovery and climate change. The event began last Friday and ended Sunday in Cornwall, England, with the participation of leaders from the UK, USA, Canada, Japan, France, Germany and Italy. The parties agreed to allocate one billion doses of vaccine to poor countries and to increase the production of drugs around the world. At the end of the meeting, the host of the summit, Boris Johnson, said that there can be no nationalistic approaches to the issues of worldwide vaccination. According to the British Prime Minister, this global project will demonstrate to the whole world the advantages of Western democracies that make up the G7. Funds will also be allocated to improve mechanisms for the prevention and prevention of pandemics. In addition, the G7 countries agreed to jointly support scientific projects, the purpose of which is to accelerate the development of vaccines in the event of a new viral threat. In terms of the global economy, the summit participants agreed that providing one-time assistance to poor and developing countries to overcome crises is an important but insufficient measure. G7 members intend to consider more orderly investments in the economies of a number of countries, in particular, in the development of labor markets. In particular, the authors of the document intend to create conditions for education of 40 million girls in poor countries by 2026. The G7 members also intend to limit China's influence on world trade and challenge practices that, as the document says, "undermine the fair and transparent functioning of the world economy." In addition, the leaders called on the Chinese leadership to respect human rights, especially with regard to the ethnic Muslim Uyghur minority. In terms of climate change, the G7 partners have conceived the so-called "green revolution", thanks to which they expect to limit the rise in global temperatures by no more than 1.5 degrees Celsius. They also committed to achieving zero carbon emissions by 2050, halving emissions by 2030, and protecting at least 30% of land and oceans by 2030. Economic data US. The consumer price index in May increased by 0.6% versus April, while the annual inflation rate was 5%, which is the highest price increase since August 2008. The growth of the core inflation rate, excluding food and energy, amounted to 3.8% y/y in May. The trade deficit in April amounted to $ 68.9 billion. Exports in April increased by 1.1% versus March, while imports decreased by 1.4% over the same period. The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 376 thousand, which is 9 thousand less than the previous week and 6 thousand more than predicted by analysts. China. The consumer price index in May fell by 0.2% versus April, while the annual inflation rate was 1.3%. The trade surplus in May amounted to $ 45.5 billion. Exports in May increased by 27.9% compared to May 2020, while imports grew by 51.1% over the same period. Key events this week On Wednesday, the US will publish data on changes in oil reserves for the week and the Fed will publish its decision on the key rate and give an assessment of the US economy, while China will report on industrial production, retail trade and the state of the labor market in May. On Thursday, the final data on price increases for May will become known in the Eurozone, while the US will publish the number of initial jobless claims for the week. The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Weekly financial market overview 31.05.-06.06.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week G7 countries have agreed on the principle of introducing at least 15% of the global minimum corporate tax for corporations applicable to each country, which will create a level playing field for all companies and discourage attempts to evade taxes. In accordance with the principles of this reform, the world's largest firms with a profitability of at least 10% will be covered, while 20% of any profits in excess of 10% will be redistributed and then taxed in the countries where they make their revenue. The move should help countries force large multinationals like Google, Amazon, Facebook and Apple to pay more taxes. Many states have tried to achieve this for many years, since such corporations are often registered in jurisdictions with preferential or lenient tax regimes. The initiative was also supported by the International Monetary Fund. IMF chief economist Gita Gopinath highlighted that it is a serious concern that many countries are evading taxes by sending money to tax havens, which in turn reduces the tax base from which governments can collect revenues and use them for necessary social and economic spending. The head of the US Treasury, who in May initiated the adoption of the minimum tax rate at 15%, Janet Yellen, called the G7's decision an unprecedented commitment. This will put an end to the race to reduce corporate taxation, she said. A global minimum tax will also help the global economy flourish, create a level playing field for businesses, and encourage countries to compete on positive terms, such as training employees and investing in research, development and infrastructure. Companies like Facebook and Google have said they welcome the tax policy update. Economic data Eurozone. The consumer price index in May rose by 0.3% versus April, while the annual inflation rate was 2%. The growth of the core inflation rate, excluding food and energy, amounted to 0.9% y/y in May. The unemployment rate in April fell by 0.1 percentage points to 8%, the lowest since June 2020. US. The unemployment rate in May fell by 0.3 percentage points to 5.8%, and the number of non-Farm payrolls amounted to 559 thousand, which is 51 thousand less than expected and 281 thousand more than a month earlier. The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 385 thousand, which is 20 thousand less than the previous week and 5 thousand less than predicted by analysts. China. According to the assessment of Caixin Bank, in May, the PMI in the manufacturing sector, as expected, rose by 0.1 percentage points and amounted to 52 points, in turn, according to the National Bureau of Statistics of China, the PMI Manufacturing in May was 51. Key events this week On Monday, China will publish trade balance data for the month of May. On Tuesday, the trade balance data will become known in the United States, and the Eurozone will give another estimate of GDP for the first quarter. On Wednesday, the US will report on changes in oil reserves for the week, and in China, an increase in the price level for May will become known. On Thursday, the ECB will publish its decision on the key interest rate and on a press conference the ECB will outline its vision of economic development, in turn, the US will publish the rise in prices in May and the number of initial jobless claims for the week. The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Weekly financial market overview 24.05.-30.05.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week US President Joe Biden presented the draft of the US budget for fiscal year of 2022, which includes government spending in the amount of $6 trillion. The document was published on the White House website. If the budget is approved in proposed amount, it will bring the United States to the highest level of government spending since the Second World War. According to Biden's plan, by 2031, government debt is projected to rise to 117% of GDP. The project plans to allocate $617 million for adaptation to climate change and combating these processes. In addition, the President included in the budget funding for infrastructure development, preschool education, as well as a number of programs in the field of health care and assistance to the poor. Biden offered to invest part of his initiatives by raising taxes for corporations and the wealthiest Americans. Earlier, the State Department requested from the federal budget for the 2022 fiscal year more than $810 million for foreign broadcasting. Economic data US. The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 406 thousand, which is 38 thousand less than the week before and 19 thousand less than predicted by analysts. The volume of orders for durable goods decreased by 1.3% compared to the previous month. The growth of the base indicator, which does not include civil aviation, was 1%. In April, the level of personal income decreased by 13.1% mom, while in March incomes showed an increase of 20.9%. According to the results of April, the level of personal expenses increased by 0.5% compared to March. Key events this week On Tuesday, the Eurozone will know the unemployment rate for April, as well as the inflation rate in May and the state of business activity in the industrial sector in May, which will also be published in the US and China. On Thursday, the US will know the number of initial jobless claims for the week, as well as the change in oil reserves for the week. On Friday, the Eurozone will publish data on retail trade for April, and in the US, the state of the labor market in May will be known. The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Weekly financial market overview 17.05.-23.05.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week On May 20, the content of the minutes of the last FED meeting was released, which took place on March 27-28, when the FED kept the base interest rate at the level of 0-0.25%. It follows from the minutes that the Fed continues to assess the coronavirus pandemic as a significant factor influencing the state of the US economy. On the one hand, the participants in the meeting noted that business activity has increased sharply, which has led to a significant increase in consumer spending, activity in the housing sector, investments in business equipment and the industrial sector. But on the other hand, the Fed notes that the overall US economy is still far from the goals set for maximum employment and price stability. The fears are caused by inflation, which is growing and has already exceeded the target of 2%. The FED predicts inflation will slow down in 2022. The target level of 2% is expected to be reached only by the end of 2023. Given this forecast, it is most likely that FED will not scale down the quantitative easing program in the next couple of years. It also follows from the protocol that some of the FED members do not exclude earlier curtailment of the quantitative easing program. In turn, the ECB, in its financial stability review, emphasizes that among the main factors of vulnerability of the European economy are high debt levels and a bubble in the real estate market, which are putting pressure on the recovery from the coronavirus crisis. The report says large government subsidies kept much of the Eurozone afloat during the pandemic, but weaning the bloc off support will be difficult as it could lead to more bankruptcies and higher unemployment, which in turn means slower growth and risks for banks. The ECB believes that the governments of the Eurozone countries must find a “middle ground” between a premature adjustment of stimuli and the maintenance of support measures for too long. However, the continued need for private sector support could raise concerns about the sustainability of sovereign debt over the medium term in the bloc's vulnerable economies, given the sharp rise in public debt last year, the ECB added. Another risk is associated with prices in the real estate market, especially commercial real estate, which was characterized by high demand and overestimations before the pandemic. Commercial real estate prices are already undergoing a significant market correction, and a further fall in prices is possible, which will lead to possible losses for lenders or an increase in the cost of collateral for loans. The ECB added that this is a potentially serious problem, as lending to commercial real estate accounts for 7% of all banks' transactions with the private sector. The residential real estate markets are in better shape, but the revaluation is already evident. The downside risk in the residential real estate segment indicates a slowdown in price growth in the coming year, but no fall is expected, the ECB added. Economic data Eurozone. According to the preliminary assessment of the PMI business activity index in May, the indicator increased by 3.1 points and amounted to 56.9. Of the indicators that make up the index, business activity in the service sector increased by 5.1 points, while the state of the manufacturing sector decreased by 0.1 points. The consumer price index in April rose by 0.6% versus March, while the annual inflation was 1.6%. The growth of the core inflation rate, excluding food and energy, amounted to 2.3% y/y in April. US. The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 444 thousand, which is 34 thousand less than the previous week and 6 thousand less than predicted by analysts. According to the preliminary assessment of the PMI business activity index in May, the indicator increased by 4.6 points and amounted to 68.1. Of the indicators that make up the index, business activity in the service sector increased by 5.4 points, and the state of the manufacturing sector increased by 1 point. China. Retail sales in April rose 17.7% versus April 2020, while retail sales were expected to grow by 25%. The volume of industrial production in April, as expected, increased by 9.8% compared to April 2020. The unemployment rate in April fell by 0.2 percentage points and amounted to 5.1%. Key events this week On Thursday, the US will publish data on sales of durable goods for April, as well as the number of initial jobless claims for the week. On Friday, data on income and expenses of citizens in April will be published in the United States. The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Weekly financial market overview 10.05.-16.05.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week The European Commission has improved its forecast for the growth of world GDP to 5.6% in 2021 compared to 4.6% projected in the fall. In 2022, the European Commission predicts the growth of the world economy at 4.3%. Presenting this forecast, European Economic Commissioner Paolo Gentiloni said that the forecast sounds optimistic, although risks still remain. He also stressed that the engines of growth in the global economy will be rapid economic growth in China, which was able to curb the pandemic at an early stage, and in the United States, where a successful vaccination campaign continues. According to the document, the growth of the EU economy will be 4.2% in 2021, and 4.4% in 2022. Growth in 2021-2022 will actually be a recovery after a record for the entire post-war period of economic decline in the 27 EU countries, which amounted to 6.1%. For the euro area, the European Commission predicts a similar trend: after a record decline of 6.6% in 2020, growth is expected at 4.3% in 2021, and 4.4% in 2022. Inflation in 2021 will be 1.7%, which is close to the European Central Bank's target of 2%. Gentiloni said that this positive outlook contains a number of risks and uncertainties, most of which relate to the impact of the pandemic response, as well as the risks of new pathogenic strains of coronavirus that are resistant to existing vaccines. Economic data US. The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 473 thousand, which is 34 thousand less than the previous week and 17 thousand less than predicted by analysts. The consumer price index in April rose by 0.8% versus March, while the annual inflation rate was 4.2%. The growth of the core inflation rate excluding food and energy in April amounted to 3% y/y. The volume of retail sales in April remained at the level of March. In turn, excluding data on the sale of gasoline and cars from the indicator, retail sales in April decreased by 0.8%. China. The consumer price index in April fell by 0.3% versus March, while the annual inflation rate was 0.9%. Key events this week On Monday, China will report on the growth of industrial production, retail trade, as well as the state of the labor market in April. On Tuesday, the Eurozone will publish data of the trade balance for the month of March, as well as the GDP data for the first quarter. On Wednesday, the Eurozone will report inflation numbers in April, the US will know the change in oil reserves for the week, and the Fed will publish the minutes from the last meeting. On Thursday, the US will publish the number of initial jobless claims for the week. On Friday, the level of business activity in May will become known in the Eurozone and the United States. The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Winners of the Annual Latvian Literary Award 2021 Announced!

Continuing the tradition, Baltic International Bank, as a long-standing patron of Latvian literature, this year again has provided financial support to the Annual Latvian Literary Award (LALIGABA), the most significant event of the year in Latvian literature, awarding a financial prize to the winner in the category for the Brightest Debut. The motto of this year’s award "In Joy and in Sorrow" testifies to the power of literature to survive even the gloomiest times, providing a chance to take refuge from what is happening around, allowing you to travel in time and space as well as to find comfort and better comprehend the world. No matter what happens, the book will never let you down – it will be by your side in joy and in sorrow, in health and in sickness. It will be capable of bringing you through fire and water – as conveyed by the seal, the visual symbol of this year’s award.   On 30 April 2021, during the Annual Latvian Literature Award (LALIGABA) ceremony broadcast on the LTV1 channel, the winners of the Annual Latvian Literature Award 2021 in five categories were announced and awarded. The Special Award was presented to the Prose Readings 2020 festival team led by writer Inga Žolude, and the recipients of the Award for Lifetime Literary Achievement – linguist and writer Lalita Muižniece and literary scholar Gunārs Bībers – were honoured. In its final vote, the Annual Latvian Literature Award committee of expert judges voted to award the LALIGABA prize in the category for the "Best Work of Poetry" to Amanda Aizpuriete’s collection of poems "Pirms izvākšanās" (Before Moving Out), published by Neputns and edited by Cilda Rēdliha. Read more on the author and the work here. In the category for the "Best Work of Prose", Jānis Joņevs triumphed with his collection of stories "Tīģeris" (Tiger), published by Dienas Grāmata and edited by Ieva Kolmane. Read more on the author and the work here. The award in the category for the "Best Translation of Foreign Literature" was earned by Jānis Elsbergs’ translation of Charles Bukowski’s selected poems "Kodiens" (Bite) from English into Latvian, published by Neputns and edited by Kārlis Vērdiņš. Read more on the translator and his performance  here.  The judges voted to give the award in the category for the "Best Original Work of Children’s Literature" to Marts Pujāts’ collection of poems "Ej nu ej" (Go On Now), published by Liels un mazs, illustrated by Lāsma Pujāte and edited by Inese Zandere. Read more on the author and the book here. This year, the "Brightest Debut" award for the most promising entrance in Latvian literature was awarded to Andris Kalnozols for his novel "Kalendārs mani sauc" (Calendar Calls Me), published by Orbīta and edited by Henriks Eliass Zēgners. Read more on the author and the book here. This award was specially supported and presented by Baltic International Bank. The winners received LALIGABA lamps designed by MĀJO studio and prize money. The Special LALIGABA Award was presented to the Prose Readings 2020 festival team led by Inga Žolude for their enormous contribution to organising the festival during the pandemic by bringing prose authors and readers together online. In 2020, the festival was held for the 25th time, and for the first time in its history it took place online, offering a diverse programme full of vital discussions and prose readings and reaching a wider audience than ever before. The prize money was awarded to support the organisation of the next festival. Read more on the Prose Readings here.  During the ceremony broadcast, the LALIGABA lamps and prize money were also given to LALIGABA Lifetime Achievement Award recipients – to linguist and writer Lalita Muižniece for her lifelong contribution to strengthening Latvian identity and promoting Latvian literature, folklore and language, and to literary scholar Gunārs Bībers for his lifetime of research in Latvian literature and dramaturgy as well criticism and pedagogy. Read more on the Lifetime Achievement Award winners here.  The Annual Latvian Literary Award (LALIGABA) is the most important annual event in the field of literature in Latvia that ensures professional assessment of literary contributions and recognition of authors for the most outstanding works in Latvian literature published over the year.    

Weekly financial market overview 03.05.-09.05.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week The Bank of England, as analysts had expected, kept its base interest rate at 0.1%. The regulator also decided to maintain the volume of the asset repurchase program at 895 billion pounds, including the buyback of government bonds in the amount of 875 billion pounds. Analysts did not expect changes in the parameters of the central bank's monetary policy. This policy aims to maintain economic growth, employment and a target inflation rate of 2%. The regulator also released a forecast that in connection with the abolition of coronavirus restrictions in 2021, the country's GDP will grow by 7.25%, and not 5%, as previously assumed. If this forecast is confirmed, it will be the most significant annual economic growth since the start of the publishing of the official macro statistics in 1949. The Bank of England predicts the first increase in interest rates by the II quarter of 2023. Economic data US. The trade deficit in March reached another record of $ 74.4 billion. Imports in March grew by 6.3% versus February and reached a historical record, while exports grew by 6.6% over the same period. The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 498 thousand, which is 92 thousand less than the week before and 42 thousand less than predicted by analysts. The unemployment rate in April increased by 0.1 percentage points to 6.1%, and the number of Non-Farm payrolls amounted to only 266 thousand, which is 700 thousand less than expected and 504 thousand less than a month earlier. China. The trade surplus in April amounted to $42.85 billion. Export growth in April amounted to 32.3% compared to April 2020, while import growth amounted to 43.1% over the same period. Key events this week On Wednesday, the Eurozone will publish data on industrial production for the month of March, and the US will report on the rise in prices for April, as well as changes in oil reserves for the week. On Thursday, the US will know the number of initial jobless claims for the week. On Friday, the US is to publish data on retail trade and industrial production for the month of April. The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Changes in the Bank’s working hours due to the National Holiday – 4th of May

Dear Clients! We would like to inform you about changes in Bank’s working hours due to the National Holiday – 4th of May. 30.04.2021 – Baltic International Bank will serve clients until 16:00. 03.05.2021 and 04.05.2021 – Baltic International Bank will be closed. 08.05.2021 (Saturday) – Baltic International Bank will serve clients until 16:00. Please pay due attention to the above mentioned changes and plan your financial transactions in a timely manner.   Happy 4th of May!

Weekly financial market overview 19.04.-25.04.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week Last week, the European Central Bank (ECB) kept its base lending rate at zero. The rate on deposits also remained at the same level - minus 0.5%, and the rate on short-term loans - at 0.25%. The European Central Bank intends to further support the economies of the member states by buying up their debt obligations. ECB President Christine Lagarde, speaking after the meeting of the Governing Council, called the debate about the end of the stimulus policy premature. The package allocated for anti-crisis measures amounts to 1 trillion 850 billion euros and is designed for the period until March 2022. Lagarde said that while recovering demand and strong financial stimulus are supporting global and euro-area economy, the immediate economic outlook is still clouded by uncertainty over a possible resurgence of the level of infection and the pace of vaccination campaigns. The decision taken last month to significantly increase the rate of spending of the program will be maintained in the second quarter, the ECB said in a statement. Economic data Eurozone. According to the results of the primary assessment of the PMI business activity index in April, the indicator increased by 0.3 points and amounted to 53.7. Of the indicators that make up the index, business activity in the service sector was 0.7 points higher, and the state of the manufacturing sector increased by 0.8 points. US. According to the results of the primary assessment of the PMI business activity index in April, the indicator increased by 2.5 points and amounted to 62.2. Of the indicators that make up the index, business activity in the service sector was 2.7 points higher, and the state of the manufacturing sector increased by 1.5 points. The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 574 thousand, which is 39 thousand less than the week before and 70 thousand less than predicted by analysts. Key events this week On Monday, the US is to publish data on orders of durable goods for March. On Wednesday, the US will report on changes in oil reserves for the week, and the Fed will publish its decision on the key rate. On Thursday, the US will publish data on the number of initial jobless claims for the week, as well as GDP growth in the first quarter. On Friday, the Eurozone will know the GDP growth for the first quarter, the level of inflation for March, as well as the unemployment rate in March, while the US will know the level of income and expenses of Americans for March. The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Third of the companies do not receive support from their bank.

Analysing the survey results of the market and public opinion research centre SKDS, Baltic International Bank discovered trends characterising businessmen satisfaction with the basic services of the bank. 750 respondents participated in the survey, including Latvian businessmen and CEO’s of the companies. Data shows that 8% of the founders of Latvian companies are ready to pay more to the banks if they receive a higher service level. Besides, authors of the study from the consulting company The Boston Consulting Group (BCG) are convinced that personalization is becoming the most important tool in relations with the bank and its clients. Head of Strategic and Business Development, Baltic International Bank, Dace Dūklava – Kokina comments on the data of SKDS research: “Individual approach in the client service has not lost its significance both in servicing private individuals and companies. Undeniably individual approach that includes also higher service level means that this service costs more but at the same time provides suitable solution to the client both in the investment and financial management areas. Similarly, as we do not change our family doctor with every visit, also in the management of finances client works with the specific banker. Individual approach in the client service means that, for example, in lending bank is ready to go into details when reviewing the loan application and, if necessary, help the client to structure project and support all aspects to make the project long-lasting and profitable.“ Additionally to the above-mentioned, SKDS survey results have indicated that one third of the companies (28.2%) have encountered a situation that bank has not been forthcoming in the solving of non-standard situations. At the same time 19% of respondents indicate that in the similar situation representatives of the bank were very cooperative, yet 42.8% admit that they were – quite cooperative. These data demonstrate that banks should focus more on the individual approach in the client service. According to respondents, most frequently banks are not cooperative in regards to lending issues (21.4%). Other most frequently mentioned difficulties are related to too high interest rates and guarantee requests to receive a loan (9%), also that bank does not offer services remotely (8%). In total significant part or 82% businessmen indicated that they are satisfied with the service level of their main bank (completely satisfied: 29%, rather satisfied: 53%), on their turn 14% are not satisfied with the service quality of their bank (completely unsatisfied: 4%, rather not satisfied: 10%). About Baltic International Bank Baltic International Bank has been operating in the Latvian financial market for 27 years and is one of the most experienced banks in the field of individual customer service in Latvia. The Bank provides high quality products and services tailored to the individual financial needs of its customers, as well as investment solutions based on the sustainable ESG (Environmental. Social. Governance) principles. The corporate values of Baltic International Bank are expertise, reliability and succession.

Lending services to the small and medium-sized enterprises – cornerstone of the Baltic International Bank in 2020

In 2020 Baltic International Bank took several significant steps: in Summer 2020 Bank launched completely new internet banking to its clients as well as in line with the approved operational strategy resumed lending focusing on the small and medium-sized enterprises. Viktors Bolbats, Chairman of the Management Board, Baltic International Bank: “Last year was challenging to everyone, therefore assessing our performance, I am happy for our motivated further movement to implement both our business goals we have set for the previous year and the one’s anticipated in the business strategy of the Bank until 2022. In 2020 we reached the highest capital adequacy ratio within three years, achieving total capital ratio in the amount of 16.53% (at the end of 2019: 14.84%). First level capital ratio (Tier 1 capital ratio) was 14.62% (at the end of 2019: 9.84%). Bank has managed to significantly increase the interest of local entrepreneurs in its products and services, as well as confidently continued to increase the number of local clients. In 2020 Latvian private individuals or legal entities comprise more than half of the active clients – 56 % (in 2019 – 50 %) from all active clients included in the Bank’s portfolio. In Q2 of the year we returned to the crediting segment, and until the end of year Bank provided loans for the total amount of more than EUR 18 million. I am convinced that during the rebuilding of economic stability after pandemics, local capital banks will play a significant role. Operational model of these Banks allows understanding needs of local entrepreneurs and providing necessary support mechanisms to businesses. The capital adequacy ratio achieved by the Bank, compliance with laws and regulations, as well as the obtained structure of the client portfolio allows the management to further develop the Bank in 2021, continuing to grant loans to local private individuals and companies.” At the end of 2020 the capital adequacy and liquidity ratio of the Bank surpassed the norms determined by the Financial and Capital Market Commission. Bank continued to maintain strong commission fee generating capacity, reaching gross commission income in the amount of EUR 2.37 million (in 2019: EUR 4.27 million). Investment in public bonds comprised EUR 22.86 million (EUR 18.06 million) or 10.54% (7.97%) from the total assets. Structure of liquid assets were well-diversified: 23.44 represented by bonds, 4.76 claims on credit institutions, 84.97 claims on the Bank of Latvia, 5.00 cash and 6.42 stocks. Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) was 64.61%. As of 31 December 2020, financial results of the Bank (data about the Group indicated in brackets) are as follows: Assets: EUR 216.84 million (EUR 218.66 million); Total capital ratio: 16.53% (14.92%); Liquidity coverage ratio: 64.61%; Losses: EUR 1.17 million (EUR 3.09 million). In 2020 Bank conversed from a Joint Stock Company into the European Company (Societas Europaea) with a view to reinforcing the international dimension of the Company and promoting its international recognition in the European Union among existing and potential clients of the Company as well as among other international providers of banking and financial services. Throughout 2020 Bank continued to invest in the upgrading and development of the information technology infrastructure and local control system, as well as improvement and development of the expertise of employees. Bank introduced several improvements in the IT system and begun to offer new Internet Banking to its clients in spring 2020. In 2020 Baltic International Bank has been recognized as the best digital bank in Latvia in the competition “Worlds Best Digital Bank Awards 2020” organised by the publication “Global Finance”. For the second consecutive year, the Bank was awarded the highest scoring category – Platinum Category – on the annual Sustainability Index, confirming the compliance of the company’s activities with the principles of sustainability. In 2020, for the second consecutive year, Bank issued its ESG (Environmental. Social. Governance) report. In 2020 Bank joined the start-up association “Startin.lv”, recognizing both their role in the general development of the national economy and the importance of providing support to this sector and in light of potential joint operations perspective. Bank traditionally supported the ceremony of presenting the Annual Latvian Literary Award (LALIGABA) and also continued work within the project Bibliotēka (Library) aimed at promoting reading. Annual Latvian Literary Award is the prime event in the area of literature in Latvia, providing professional evaluation of literary works and acknowledging authors for their most outstanding works published in the Latvian literature within a year. For many years Bank has supported development of outstanding cultural and art values and in 2020 in frame of the reading promotion project Bank “Library” a unique heraldic edition “Family Coats of Arms in Modern Latvia” was published with the support of the Bank and devoted to the family coats of arms registered in Latvia. Also Bank continued to work on the rebuilding of the complex of historical buildings “Kalēju Quarter” in Old Riga.      

Weekly financial market overview 05.04.-11.04.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week Last week, International Monetary Fund (IMF) raised its forecast for the global economy again, expecting global GDP to grow by 6% this year. The rate may be the highest since the 1970s, thanks in large part to incentive programs in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. In late January, the IMF predicted that the global economy will grow 5.5% in 2021. The increase in the forecast is largely due to the improved outlook for the US economy. According to the new forecast, the IMF expects the US economy to grow 6.4% in 2021 - the fastest pace since the early 1980s. This is 1.3 percentage points higher than the January forecast. The global economic downturn last year, triggered by the pandemic, was the worst in the post-war period. The fund reported that the global economy contracted 3.3% in 2020. In the January report, the decline was estimated at 3.5%. A recent World Economic Outlook report pointed to a sharp divergence between the outlook for the United States and other countries with the $ 1.9 trillion that Washington gave in economic stimulus. Forecasts for other advanced economies such as Germany, France and Japan have barely improved since January. However, due to the improved outlook for the US, the IMF raised its growth estimate for advanced economies to 5.1% from 4.3%. The IMF highlighted the high degree of uncertainty surrounding the forecasts and the fact that improvements are dependent on success in the fight against the pandemic. The IMF believes that greater progress in vaccination could improve the prognosis, while new strains of the virus that do not respond to vaccines could lead to a sharp decline. Economic data US. The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 744 thousand, which is 16 thousand less than the week before and 64 thousand more than predicted by analysts. The trade deficit in February reached a record high on record, amounting to $71.1 billion. This increase in the trade deficit was caused by a decrease in exports by 2.55%, while the decrease in imports was only 0.7%. China. The consumer price index in March fell by 0.5% versus February, while the annual inflation rate was 0.4%. Key events this week On Tuesday, the US will report on the rise in prices in March, while China will publish data on the trade balance for March. On Wednesday, the Eurozone will publish data on industrial production for the month of February, and the US will publish the change in oil reserves for the previous week. On Thursday, the US will publish retail trade data for March, as well as the number of initial jobless claims for the week. On Friday, data on the trade balance for February and price increases in March will be published in the Eurozone, while China will report on GDP growth in the first quarter, as well as retail trade, industrial production and unemployment for the month of March. The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Baltic International Bank invests in the FinTech company SPARQ

Baltic International Bank is happy to announce that Bank has become an investor in the start-up SPARQ – innovative personal finance platform. Last week users are introduced to the first SPARQ product – financial management app that has come to the users after prolonged testing period – validating product concept and testing all features and benefits of the app. SPARQ app allows users to control their finances, create their own account, earn and spend QPoints, as well as provides personal financial platform service across European Union.   Viktors Bolbats, Chairman of the Management Board, Baltic International Bank: “Bank has been interested in the start-up sector for the longer time already – we appreciate modern innovations and contribution to the development of the financial sector in general, therefore we are delighted that new projects are introduced and we are able to support both emerging entrepreneurs and promote development of the start-up culture.” SPARQ is an innovative personal finance solutions platform, headquartered in Tallinn, Estonia. In the coming months it will offer its users additional new app features, including analytical tools, QPoints, and the highly practical and intuitive SPARQ dashboard, which allows users to track their daily spending and monthly bills so they can plan their financial life better. SPARQ is rewarding its loyal early adopters with several Early Adopter Pack benefits. These include a free limited-edition physical card, which comes in a unique design and is only available to the first 5000 users. Early adopters will also receive a lifetime discount on the SPARQ’s services when they purchase their first subscription.    

Baltic International Bank encourges clients to use financila services on pre–aranged basis or remotley

Due to measures dedicated to restrict Covid-19 in Latvia, starting April 7, 2021, Baltic International Bank encourages our clients  to use remote financial services and conduct your financial transactions remotely as much as possible. In-person customer service will be provided by prior appointment.   Remote customer service We have already widely and deeply integrated remote services into our working practices, thus enabling you to manage your finances and to access your accounts and transactions within a 24-hour period from anywhere. Use the most convenient channel for remote communication with the Bank: Internet Banking facility Email (to communicate with your private banker) Phone-based remote customer service: +371 6700 0444 Info email address: info@bib.eu   Information for vault attendants  To access your safe deposit box, you should pre-arrange your visit. Please contact your private banker to schedule the appointment. During this period, please visit Bank’s vault only if you really need to access your locker and you cannot therefore reschedule or postpone the visit.   Thank you in advance for your understanding.  

Changes in the Bank’s working hours on Easter Holidays

Dear Clients! In connection with the Easter holiday, the Bank’s working hours have been changed: 01.04.2021. – Baltic International Bank will serve clients remotely until 4 p.m. 02.04.2021. and 05.04.2021. – Baltic International Bank will be closed. Please pay due attention to the above mentioned changes and plan your financial transactions in a timely manner.   Happy Easter!

Weekly financial market overview 22.03.-28.03.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week US President Joe Biden's team is developing a new package of measures to support the economy, reduce harmful emissions and reduce economic inequality in the amount of $3 trillion. New measures have been discussed for several months and this week the head of the White House will present the first part of them at his speech in Pittsburgh. Biden's advisers recommend breaking the package of new measures into two parts to make it more appealing to push it through Congress. The first part of the measures will concern the development of infrastructure, including clean energy and other fast-growing industries of the future, such as communication technology 5G. It will also include the introduction of broadband in rural areas, training of millions of workers, the construction of a million affordable and energy-efficient residential buildings. It follows from the documents that almost $1 trillion is planned to be spent on the construction of roads, bridges, railways, ports, charging stations for electric vehicles and improving power grids. The second part of the package will affect the development of human infrastructure - students, workers and the unemployed. It provides for the allocation of significant funds for education and programs aimed, among other things, at increasing the employment of women and helping them to combine work and childcare. The package will extend or permanently expand subsidies for low- and middle-income Americans to purchase health insurance and tax credits aimed at reducing poverty. Part of the costs under the new package could be covered by higher taxes for corporations, including an increase in the corporate income tax rate from the current 21% and measures to force multinational corporations to pay taxes in the United States on income they receive abroad. Earlier, on March 11, Biden signed a package of measures to help the economy and the Americans in the amount of $1.9 trillion. It includes, among other things, direct payments to most Americans in the amount of $1,400, the allocation of $25 billion to support the business in utilities and rent payments, and about $10 billion to help mortgage borrowers. Economic data Eurozone. According to the preliminary assessment of the PMI business activity index in March, the index increased by 3.7 points and amounted to 52.5. Of the indicators that make up the index, business activity in the service sector was 3.1 points higher, while the state of the manufacturing sector rose 4.5 points. US. According to the preliminary assessment of the PMI business activity index in March, the indicator decreased by 0.4 points and amounted to 59.1. Of the indicators that make up the index, business activity in the service sector was 0.2 points higher, and the state of the manufacturing sector increased by 0.4 points. The volume of orders for durable goods in February decreased by 1.1% versus the previous month. The fall in the base indicator, which does not include civil aviation, was 0.9%. The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 684 thousand, which is 97 thousand less than the previous week and 46 thousand less than predicted by analysts. In February, the level of personal income, as expected, decreased by 7.1% mom, while in January incomes showed an increase of 10.1%. The level of personal spending in February fell by 1% mom, after growing by 3.4% in January. Key events this week On Wednesday, the rise in prices for March will become known in the Eurozone, the US will report on changes in oil reserves, and in China, the level of business activity in the industrial sector will become known. On Thursday, the US will publish the number of initial jobless claims for the week. On Friday, the US will report on the state of the labor market in March. The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Weekly financial market overview 15.03.-21.03.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week The US FED kept the base interest rate at the level of 0-0.25% per annum. The committee decided to maintain the range of the federal funds rate at 0-0.25% and believes it would be appropriate to maintain it at this level until conditions in the labor market reach levels corresponding to estimates of maximum employment, as well as inflation of 2%. The FED improved its forecast for US GDP growth in 2021 from 4.2% to 6.5%, and also raised its forecast for inflation from 1.8% to 2.4%. According to the Fed's forecast, unemployment in the United States will be 4.5% in 2021, 3.9% in 2022 and 3.5% in 2023. The average long-term forecast for unemployment is 4%. The regulator announced plans to continue the asset repurchases in the amount of $120 billion per month until significant progress is made in achieving employment and inflation targets. The FED said in a statement that economic development will be heavily influenced by the spread of the coronavirus, in particular with the progress of vaccinations, and that the public health crisis continues to weigh on economic activity, employment and inflation, posing significant risks to the economic outlook. US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said at a press briefing that the FED will support the economy as long as it takes. On their March meeting, the Bank of Japan kept the interest rate at the negative level - minus 0.1%. Eight participants in the meeting were in favor of maintaining a negative interest rate, one - against. In addition, the regulator plans to buy an unlimited number of government bonds and continue targeting the yield on 10-year government bonds at a level close to 0%. It is noted that depending on the dynamics of economic activity and prices, profitability may rise and fall to some extent. The regulator also decided to extend the additional repurchase of commercial paper and corporate bonds until the end of September 2021. The maximum purchase amount is about 20 trillion yen in total. The Japanese central bank also kept the annual volume of exchange-traded fund buybacks at about 12 trillion yen and real estate investment trust assets at about 180 billion yen. In the short and long term, the Japanese Central Bank expects rates to remain at the current or lower level. Also, the Bank of England on Thursday did not change the size of the key rate and the parameters of the stimulus program, expecting the recovery of the British economy in 2021 thanks to the active vaccination of the population against coronavirus. The central bank kept the key rate at 0.1%, the volume of the asset purchase program - at 895 billion pounds. The decision of the Central Bank was adopted unanimously and coincided with analysts' forecasts. Economic data Eurozone. The consumer price index in February increased by 0.2% versus January, while the annual inflation amounted to 0.9%. The growth of the core inflation rate, excluding food and energy, in February amounted to 1.1% y/y. US. Retail sales in February fell 3% versus January, while retail sales were expected to decline by only 0.5%. In turn, excluding data on gasoline and car sales from the indicator, retail sales in February decreased by 2.7%. Industrial production also fell 2.2% in February versus January, while a slight rise of 0.3% was expected. The volume of industrial production decreased by 4.2% compared to February 2020. The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 770 thousand, which is 45 thousand more than the week before and 70 thousand more than predicted by analysts. China. The volume of retail sales in January-February, compared to the same period last year, increased by 33.8%. This rapid growth is due to the low base effect, which is due to a full lockdown during same time period last year. Industrial production in January-February also increased by 35.1% compared to the same period last year, for the same reasons. The unemployment rate in January-February increased by 0.2 percentage points and amounted to 5.5%. Key events this week On Wednesday, the Eurozone, as well as the US, will know the level of business activity in March, and the US will also publish data on sales of durable goods for February and changes in oil inventories for the week. On Thursday, the US is to publish the latest estimate of GDP growth for the fourth quarter of 2020, as well as the number of initial jobless claims for the week. On Friday, the United States will report on changes in personal income and expenses of citizens for February. The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Weekly financial market overview 08.03.-14.03.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week In a new forecast released on March 9, the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) expects the global economy to grow 5.6 percent in 2021. This is 1.4 percentage points higher than in the previous forecast. In 2022, global GDP will increase by 4 percent, the report says. The outlook for the global economy has improved significantly thanks to effective campaigns to vaccinate the population against COVID-19 and the allocation of additional financial support measures in some countries. They expect that it will be possible to reach the pre-crisis level by mid-2021. Thus, the growth of US GDP in 2021 will be 6.5 percent, and a year later - 4 percent, analysts at the OECD believe. The German economy in 2021 is expected to grow by 3 percent, follows from the forecast. This is 0.2 percentage points higher than the previous estimate. In 2022, Germany's GDP will increase by 3.7 percent, according to the OECD. Following the March meeting, the European Central Bank announced its intention to accelerate the redemption of bonds under its PEPP program in order to support the EU economy. In EU recovery is expected to lag behind the US, constrained by the slow rollout of the vaccination campaign and cuts in government aid spending. ECB President Christine Lagarde is optimistic and believes that the ongoing vaccination campaign, along with the gradual easing of containment measures, provided that any further adverse events associated with the pandemic are ruled out, reinforce expectations of a sustained recovery in economic activity throughout 2021. The purchase of assets will lead to a decrease in their yield, which serves as a guideline for borrowing in the entire region. Thus, the ECB will theoretically help reduce the cost of loans for companies that need to invest or borrow to survive the pandemic. The volume of the emergency program of repurchase of assets of the ECB left at the same level - 1.85 trillion euros, and the base interest rate on loans, as expected, kept at zero. The rate on deposits remained at minus 0.5% and the rate on margin loans at 0.25%. US President Joe Biden signed a $1.9 trillion economic aid package that provides direct, one-time payments of $1,400 for most Americans, as well as tax breaks for millions of families. By signing the bill, Biden promised that the money would help rebuild America's economy and support workers and the middle class. The US government has already adopted three aid packages for citizens and companies affected by the pandemic, totaling more than $5 trillion. Unlike the previous two aid packages, this one has not been voted on by any Republican legislator in either house of Congress. He made it through the House of Representatives and Senate solely thanks to Democratic votes. Direct one-time payments of 1,400 will be received by all Americans who earn less than $75,000 a year, or $150,000 per married couple. This is the majority of the population. Many families with minors will receive additional tax breaks ranging from $3,000 to $3,600 per child - in addition to the already existing deductions. In addition, unemployment benefits of $300 per week will be extended until September. Another $350 billion will go to support states and counties, $130 billion - to open schools, almost $50 billion - for the coronavirus testing and research program and another $14 billion for additional purchases of vaccines. The plan also provides support for small and medium-sized businesses. Economic data US. The consumer price index in February rose by 0.4% versus January, while the annual inflation rate was 1.7%. The growth of the core inflation rate, excluding food and energy, amounted to 1.3% y/y in February. The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 712 thousand, which is 42 thousand less than the previous week and 13 thousand less than predicted by analysts. China. The consumer price index in February increased by 0.6% versus January, while the annual deflation amounted to 0.2%. Key events this week This week, the Fed, the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan will publish their decisions on monetary policy. On Monday, China is to publish data on retail trade, industrial production and unemployment rates for January and February. On Tuesday, data on retail trade and industrial production for February will be released in the United States. On Wednesday, data on the growth of prices in February will be published in the Eurozone, and in the US report on the change in oil reserves for the week will become available. On Thursday, the Eurozone will publish the state of the trade balance in January, and the US will publish data on the number of initial jobless claims for the week. The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Baltic International Bank encourages clients to use the remote financial services or on a pre-arranged basis!

In light of restrictions by Government of Latvia that will remain in effect from March16  till April 6th 2021, we encourage you to use remote financial services and conduct your financial transactions remotely as much as possible. In-person customer service will be provided by prior appointment.   Remote customer service We have already widely and deeply integrated remote services into our working practices, thus enabling you to manage your finances and to access your accounts and transactions within a 24-hour period from anywhere. Use the most convenient channel for remote communication with the Bank: Internet Banking facility Email (to communicate with your private banker) Phone-based remote customer service: +371 6700 0444 Info email address: info@bib.eu   Information for vault attendants  To access your safe deposit box, you should pre-arrange your visit. Please contact your private banker to schedule the appointment. During this period, please visit Bank’s vault only if you really need to access your locker and you cannot therefore reschedule or postpone the visit. Thank you in advance for your understanding.

Weekly financial market overview 01.03.-07.03.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week At the National People's party Congress, the highest authority in the PRC, the Chinese authorities set a target for annual economic growth of 6 percent. In a pandemic, the PRC is almost the only large economy in the world that is showing growth. The Chinese leadership expects that by the end of 2021, the growth rate of the country's economy will exceed 6 percent. Last year, despite the economic downturn amid the pandemic, this figure was 2.3 percent. This was achieved thanks to an ambitious incentive program. In addition, Beijing plans to increase its military budget by 6.8 percent. This means that defense spending will grow faster this year than budget spending as a whole. In 2020, the increase in military spending was 6.6 percent. Contributions are mounting amid continuing tensions with the United States, India and Taiwan. In addition, the Chinese authorities decided to take up reforms in the social sphere. The Chinese authorities will gradually raise the retirement age over five years. This goal is laid down in the 14th plan for the socio-economic development of the state for 2021-2025. Currently, men in China can retire at 60 and women at 55. By 2025, this age will be 65 for men and 60 for women, respectively. Economic data Eurozone. According to the results of the final revision of the PMI business activity index in February, the indicator increased by 1 point in relation to January and amounted to 48.8. Of the indicators that make up the index, business activity in the service sector was 0.3 points higher, while the state of the manufacturing sector rose 2.9 points. The unemployment rate in January, for the third month in a row, remained unchanged at 8.1%, 0.2 percentage points below analysts' expectations. The consumer price index in February increased by 0.2% versus January, while the annual inflation amounted to 0.9%. The growth of the core inflation rate, excluding food and energy, amounted to 1.1% y/y in February. US. The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 745 thousand, which is 9 thousand more than the week before and 5 thousand less than predicted by analysts. The unemployment rate in February fell by 0.1 percentage points and amounted to 6.2%, and the number of non-farm payrolls amounted to 379 thousand, which is 200 thousand more than expected and 213 thousand more than a month earlier. According to the results of the final revision of the PMI business activity index in February, the indicator increased by 0.8 points in relation to January and amounted to 59.5. Of the indicators that make up the index, business activity in the service sector was 1.5 points higher, while the state of the manufacturing sector rose 3.1 points. The trade deficit in January amounted to $ 68.2 billion. Exports in January increased by 1% compared to December 2020, while imports grew by 1.4% over the same period. China. According to Caixin Bank, in February, the PMI in the manufacturing sector decreased by 0.6 points and amounted to 50.9 p., In turn, according to the National Bureau of Statistics of China, the PMI Manufacturing in February was 50.6 p. Key events this week The main event this week will be the vote in the US Senate on the adoption of Joe Biden's economic stimulus plan, which, if adopted, will be signed by Biden himself, after which it will come into force. On Wednesday, the level of inflation for February will become known in China and the United States, and the United States will also report on the growth of oil reserves for the week. On Thursday, the ECB will publish its decision on key interest rates, and in the US the number of initial jobless claims for the week will become available. The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Weekly financial market overview 22.02.-28.02.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week   The US House of Representatives has approved a $1.9 trillion economic bailout package prepared by President Joe Biden's administration. 219 members of the House of Representatives voted for the bill, while 212 voted against it. The total volume of the aid package is equal to almost 10 percent of the country's GDP. The bill provides for the allocation of $400 billion to combat the spread of the coronavirus, about $1 trillion will be allocated to help citizens affected by the pandemic and restrictive measures, the rest of the money will go to stimulate economic growth. With this program, Biden aims to create millions of new jobs. In addition, direct payments to private households, funding for coronavirus tests and COVID-19 vaccinations, and additional assistance to the unemployed are provided. After the adoption of the bill by the House of Representatives, the document will go to the Senate in early March. In the Senate, part of Biden's plan has already failed to raise the national minimum wage to $15 an hour, which now stands at $7.25. As a result, this measure was excluded from the bill. Biden and his Democratic Party are pushing for the package to be fast-tracked by March 14, when the extended and increased unemployment relief expires. In the Senate, Democrats and Republicans each have 50 votes, but in the event of a stalemate, Vice President Kamala Harris, who is also the chairman of the upper house of parliament, can cast her vote. Republicans oppose the adoption of such an extensive new aid package. Economic data   Eurozone. The consumer price index in January rose by 0.2% versus December, while the annual inflation rate was 0.9%. The growth of the core inflation rate, excluding food and energy, amounted to 1.4% y/y in January. US. According to a second estimate, Q4 GDP grew 4.1% year on year (compared to Q3 2020). The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 730 thousand, which is 111 thousand less than the previous week and 80 thousand less than analysts predicted. Home sales in the primary market in January increased by 4.3% compared to December and amounted to 923 thousand in annual terms, which is 73 thousand more than analysts had predicted. The volume of orders for durable goods in January increased by 3.4% versus the previous month. The base indicator, excluding civil aviation, grew by 1.4% over the same period. In January, thanks to payments of aid from the state, the level of personal income increased by 10% MoM, while in December incomes showed an increase of 0.6%. The level of personal spending in January increased by 2.4% compared to December. Key events this week On Monday, the level of business activity in the industrial sector in February will become known in the US, China and the Eurozone. On Tuesday, the level of inflation in February will become known in the Eurozone. On Wednesday, the change in oil reserves for the week will be published in the United States. On Thursday, data on retail trade and unemployment in January will be announced in the Eurozone and in the US the number of initial jobless claims for the week will be published. On Friday, the US will publish data on the trade balance for January, as well as the state of the labor market in February. The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Weekly financial market overview 15.02.-21.02.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week   Former Minister of Finance of Nigeria Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala will become the first woman and the first native of Africa to hold the post of Director-General of the World Trade Organization (WTO). As a Director-General with limited formal powers, 66-year-old Okonjo-Iweala will mediate international trade negotiations, engage in trade rule reforms, and fight protectionism that has intensified during the Covid-19 pandemic. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala studied economics at Harvard after surviving the Nigerian Civil War as a teenager. She also recently received American citizenship. In 2003, Okonjo-Oveala returned to her homeland and twice (in 2003-2006 and in 2011-2015) headed the Ministry of Finance. It was her tenacity and negotiation skills that are believed to have helped secure the 2005 Paris Club of Nigerian debt relief deal with the Paris Club of creditor nations. Okonjo-Iweala also spent 25 years with the World Bank as a development economist, overseeing the bank's $ 81 billion operating portfolio and rising to the position of Managing Director. She also serves on the boards of directors of several large corporations, notably Twitter and Danone. All members of the WTO General Council, in which representatives of all member countries of the organization sit, approved her candidacy unanimously. The WTO, after six months of the Director-General absence, is in a state of partial paralysis, mainly because the Trump administration has blocked appointments to its highest appellate body, which acts as the global arbiter of trade disputes. But even before Trump, deals that need to be negotiated by consensus were often sluggish. At the same time, the United States and other developed WTO members argued that developing countries, especially China, cannot constantly demand exceptions to the rules and that the rules generally need to be revised to take into account the rapid growth of the Chinese economy. The minutes from the January 26-27 meeting of the US central bank showed that with a still weakened economy that may take a long time to fully recover. Federal Reserve officials discussed how to lay the foundation for accepting higher inflation in society, as well as the need for “Stay vigilant” and monitor for signs of stress in vibrant asset markets. Fed officials have discussed, among other things, platforms like Robinhood, which enable private investors to trade in the stock market. The members of the regulator's council said they are ready to maintain a soft monetary policy in order to improve the situation in the labor market, which is still not recovering from the impact of the coronavirus pandemic. Several meeting participants said they see price increases on the horizon for products that have been or may soon be restricted due to supply chain disruptions; others expected that a possible sharp return to normal activity levels could result in a one-off rise in certain prices. Economic data   Eurozone. According to the second estimate, GDP in the fourth quarter decreased by 0.6% relative to the third quarter of 2020, while the decline in GDP in the fourth quarter on an annualized basis (relative to the fourth quarter of 2020) was 5%. According to the results of the primary assessment of the PMI business activity index in February, the indicator increased by 0.3 points and amounted to 48.1. Of the indicators that make up the index, business activity in the service sector was 0.7 points lower, while the state of the manufacturing sector rose 2.9 points. US. According to the results of the initial assessment of the PMI index of business activity in February, the indicator increased by 1.1 points and amounted to 58.8. Of the indicators that make up the index, business activity in the service sector was 0.6 points higher, and the state of the manufacturing sector fell 0.7 points. The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 861 thousand, which is 13 thousand more than the week before and 96 thousand more than analysts predicted. Retail sales rose 5.3% in January compared to December 2020, while retail sales were expected to grow by 1%. In turn, excluding data on gasoline and car sales from the indicator, retail sales in January rose by 5.9%. Key events this week On Tuesday, the Eurozone is to publish the final inflation data for January. On Wednesday, the US will report on new home sales in January, as well as changes in oil inventories for the week. On Thursday, the US is to publish a fourth quarter GDP recount, data on durable goods trade, and the number of initial jobless claims for the week. On Friday, the US will publish data on personal income and expenses of the citizens for January. The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Weekly financial market overview 08.02.-14.02.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week   The head of the Federal Reserve System (FED) Jerome Powell, speaking at the Economic Club of New York, said that the return of the US labor market to the levels reached before the beginning of the pandemic could take "many years." Jerome Powell explained that from the very beginning of the pandemic, the FED was concerned about its long-term implications for the labor market. Long periods of unemployment can seriously damage a person's life as well as undermine a country's economic potential. Past experience has shown that recovery can take many years. The head of the FED added that at the beginning of the pandemic, in February 2020, the US unemployment rate was 3.5%. In April 2020, it reached a maximum for the entire pandemic period - 14.8%, and by January 2021 the unemployment rate dropped to 6.3%. In 2020, U.S. GDP fell 3.5%, the worst since World War II. The US Senate vote on the impeachment of former President Donald Trump on Saturday, February 13, ended with the ex-head of state's acquittal. 57 out of 100 members of the upper house of the American parliament voted to remove Trump from the presidency. However, for the impeachment to take place, a two-thirds majority was needed, which corresponds to at least 67 congressmen. The impeachment proceedings against Donald Trump were launched by the House of Representatives of the Congress while Trump was serving as president of the United States. However, due to a lack of time, the Senate was forced to consider this issue after the inauguration of the new head of state, Democrat Joe Biden, who won the election. Economic data   US. The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 793 thousand, which is 19 thousand less than the week before and 43 thousand more than predicted by analysts. The consumer price index in January increased by 0.3% against December, while the annual inflation rate was 1.4%. The growth of the core inflation rate excluding food and energy resources in January was also 1.4% y/y. China. The consumer price index in January increased by 1% versus December, while the annual inflation was negative and amounted to -0.3%. Key events this week On Monday, the Eurozone will publish data on the trade balance and industrial production for December. On Tuesday, the Eurozone is to publish data on the recalculation of GDP for the fourth quarter of 2020. On Wednesday, the US is to publish data on retail trade and industrial production for January, as well as minutes of the last Fed meeting. On Thursday, the US will publish the number of initial jobless claims for the week, as well as the change in oil inventories for the week. On Friday, the state of the business environment in February will be published in the Eurozone and the US. The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Weekly financial market overview 01.02.-07.02.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week   The Bank of England has kept its base interest rate at 0.1% per annum on its February meeting. The limit on funds for the purchase of assets was maintained at 895 billion pounds. The British regulator noted that the Covid-19 pandemic continues to negatively affect income, expenses, and the labor market in the UK. Inflation remains well below the 2% target. Vaccinations should help the UK economy recover quickly by the end of 2021, according to the British Central Bank. Nonetheless, the regulator stands ready to take further action, if necessary, to help the economy recover and keep inflation on target. The Bank of England noted that it will take time for most of the banks to change systems and processes and to implement strategic or tactical decisions. The Bank of England stressed that all this does not mean the inevitability of the introduction of negative rates. Nonetheless, the Bank of England will work with policy development companies to prepare all eligible firms for a negative rate regime in six months. Negative rates actually allow businesses and individuals to borrow money while receiving interest. At the same time, investing in bank deposits and other debt instruments brings losses to their owners equal to the negative rate. Such a monetary regime theoretically encourages investment in other exchange-traded instruments and businesses, as well as active spending, which should promote economic growth. However, negative interest rates have a further downward impact on banks' profitability, negatively affecting their financial performance. Economic data   US. The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 779 thousand, which is 33 thousand less than the previous week and 51 thousand less than predicted by analysts. The final estimate of the PMI business activity index in January shows that it has risen by 3.4 points to 58.7. Of the indicators, that make up the index, business activity in the service sector was 3.5 points higher, but the state of the manufacturing sector increased by 2.1 points. The unemployment rate in January fell by 0.4 percentage points and amounted to 6.3% and the number of nonfarm payrolls amounted to 49 thousand, which is 1 thousand less than expected and 276 thousand more than a month earlier. Eurozone. The final estimate of the PMI business activity index in January shows that it has decreased by 1.3 points to 47.8. Of the indicators that make up the index, business activity in the service sector was 1 point lower, while the state of the manufacturing sector decreased by 0.4 points. The unemployment rate in December remained at the level of November at 8.3%. The consumer price index in January increased by 0.2% compared to December 2020, while the annual inflation rate was 0.9%. The growth of the core inflation rate excluding food and energy resources in January amounted to 1.4% y/y. According to preliminary calculations, GDP in the fourth quarter decreased by 0.7% compared to the third quarter, while on an annualized basis (compared to the fourth quarter of 2019), the GDP fell by 5.1% y/y. China. According to the Caixin Bank, in January, the PMI in the manufacturing sector fell by 1.5 percentage points to 51.5 p., In turn, according to the National Bureau of Statistics of China, the PMI Manufacturing in January was 51.3 points. Key events this week On Wednesday, data on the rise in prices for January will be published in China and the United States, as well as in the United States will report on the change in oil reserves for the week. On Thursday, the US will publish the number of initial jobless claims for the week. The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Weekly financial market overview 25.01.-31.01.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week   At its first meeting in 2021, the US Federal Reserve kept its base interest rate at 0-0.25%. The regulator said in a statement that the Open Market Committee has decided to maintain its target range for the federal funds rate at 0-0.25% and expects it to be appropriate to maintain that target range until labor market conditions reach levels consistent with the committee's estimates of maximum employment and inflation is approaching 2%. In addition to keeping rates at current levels, the Fed plans to continue buying at least $80 billion in Treasury bonds and at least $40 billion in mortgage-backed securities monthly in the coming months until significant progress is made towards the maximum employment and price stability. The Fed stressed that the COVID-19 pandemic continues to put pressure on economic activity, employment and inflation and also poses significant risks to the economic outlook - both in the US and around the world. US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said at a press conference following the first meeting this year that the US economy is far from fully recovering, and about 9 million people remain unemployed due to the pandemic. He also added that the economy is far from our employment and inflation targets and it will likely take time to make significant further progress. He explained that until these goals are achieved the US intends to pursue adaptive monetary policy. Powell reiterated that the outlook for the US economy remains "highly uncertain." He stressed that he does not expect inflation to rise much higher than the target level of 2%, but if it does the Fed "has the tools to address" the issue. The head of the Central Bank indicated that with a slight increase in this indicator, the authorities will not take any significant measures, but only monitor it. In its January report, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) improved its forecast for global GDP growth this year by 0.3 percentage points from its October estimates. According to analysts of the fund, this year the growth rate of world GDP will be 5.5%, in the October forecast this figure was 5.2%. In 2022, the IMF expects 4.2% growth. Last year, according to the fund's analysts, the world economy contracted by 3.5%, while in the fall, experts expected that by the end of 2020, global GDP would fall by 4.4%. The report says the upward revision of the forecast for 2021 by 0.3 pp reflects additional support measures in several large economies and expectations of stronger economic activity later this year due to vaccinations. According to the forecasts of the fund experts, the volume of world trade will increase by 8.1% this year and by 6.3% in 2022. In most countries, fiscal deficits are also expected to decline, driven by higher government revenues and lower spending as economic activity recovers. At the same time, the document notes that, in general, the approval of the countries' regulators of vaccines against coronavirus "gives hope" to overcome the pandemic, however, new waves of the spread of infection and new variants of the virus raise concerns in terms of economic forecasts. Economic data US. According to initial estimates, fourth-quarter GDP grew 4% year-on-year (compared to the third quarter of 2020), in line with analysts' expectations. The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 847 thousand, which is 67 thousand less than the week before and 53 thousand less than predicted by analysts. The volume of orders for durable goods in December increased by 0.2% versus the previous month. The growth of the base indicator, which does not include civil aviation, was 0.5% over the same period. In December, the level of personal income increased by 0.6% m/m, while the level of personal expenses in December decreased by 0.2% versus November. Key events this week On Monday, the US, Eurozone and China will know the level of business activity in the industrial sector in January. On Tuesday, the size of the fall in GDP in the fourth quarter will become known in the Eurozone. On Wednesday, the Eurozone will report inflation numbers for January and the US will publish data on changes in oil reserves for the week. On Thursday, the US will know the number of initial jobless claims for the week. On Friday, the US will know the state of the labor market in January as well as the trade balance figures for December.     The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Weekly financial market overview 18.01.-24.01.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week The European Central Bank (ECB), as expected, kept the base interest rate on loans at zero level, the rate on deposits at minus 0.5%. The rate on margin loans remained at the level of 0.25%. The ECB's Governing Council expects key rates to remain at or below current levels until inflation “confidently” approaches its target of just below 2%. The ECB also did not change the scope of the Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program (PEPP), leaving it at 1.85 trillion euros, as experts expected. The central bank will continue to buy back assets under this program, at least until the end of March 2022, and in any case until it considers that the crisis caused by the coronavirus pandemic is over. The ECB also intends to reinvest the proceeds from redeemable bonds under the PEPP at least until the end of 2023. ECB President Christine Lagarde said at a press conference after the ECB meeting that the coronavirus pandemic is likely to cause the economy to contract at the end of 2020 and put pressure on economic activity early this year, but this is in line with the ECB's forecasts. Lagarde noted that risks to economic growth are biased downward, but less pronounced. She also believes that the introduction of vaccines, which began in late December, provides more confidence in resolving the health crisis. However, it will take time to achieve herd immunity and further adverse events associated with the pandemic cannot be ruled out. In the first day at the office, the new US President Joseph Biden signed 15 decrees and orders canceling the decisions of his predecessor Donald Trump, as well as introducing new measures to combat the coronavirus pandemic. Biden overturned Trump's decree barring several predominantly Muslim countries from entering the United States and suspended construction of the wall on the border with Mexico, which under Trump was built around the clock until the January 20. Even during the election campaign, the Democrat promised to restore the country's membership in the Paris Agreement on Climate Change, which Trump announced his withdrawal from in 2017. The president also signed a decree ordering the migration authorities to stop trying to expel people who arrived in the United States as children with illegal immigrant parents from the country. The Trump administration spent four years trying to shake off this Barack Obama initiative known as the DACA program, though it ultimately failed in the courts. Biden also suspended the country's withdrawal from the World Health Organization, begun by his predecessor, and made the wearing of masks and physical distancing measures mandatory in all federal agencies and for government employees. The European Central Bank (ECB), as expected, kept the base interest rate on loans at zero level, the rate on deposits at minus 0.5%. The rate on margin loans remained at the level of 0.25%. The ECB's Governing Council expects key rates to remain at or below current levels until inflation “confidently” approaches its target of just below 2%. The ECB also did not change the scope of the Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program (PEPP), leaving it at 1.85 trillion euros, as experts expected. The central bank will continue to buy back assets under this program, at least until the end of March 2022, and in any case until it considers that the crisis caused by the coronavirus pandemic is over. The ECB also intends to reinvest the proceeds from redeemable bonds under the PEPP at least until the end of 2023. ECB President Christine Lagarde said at a press conference after the ECB meeting that the coronavirus pandemic is likely to cause the economy to contract at the end of 2020 and put pressure on economic activity early this year, but this is in line with the ECB's forecasts. Lagarde noted that risks to economic growth are biased downward, but less pronounced. She also believes that the introduction of vaccines, which began in late December, provides more confidence in resolving the health crisis. However, it will take time to achieve herd immunity and further adverse events associated with the pandemic cannot be ruled out. In the first day at the office, the new US President Joseph Biden signed 15 decrees and orders canceling the decisions of his predecessor Donald Trump, as well as introducing new measures to combat the coronavirus pandemic. Biden overturned Trump's decree barring several predominantly Muslim countries from entering the United States and suspended construction of the wall on the border with Mexico, which under Trump was built around the clock until the January 20. Even during the election campaign, the Democrat promised to restore the country's membership in the Paris Agreement on Climate Change, which Trump announced his withdrawal from in 2017. The president also signed a decree ordering the migration authorities to stop trying to expel people who arrived in the United States as children with illegal immigrant parents from the country. The Trump administration spent four years trying to shake off this Barack Obama initiative known as the DACA program, though it ultimately failed in the courts. Biden also suspended the country's withdrawal from the World Health Organization, begun by his predecessor, and made the wearing of masks and physical distancing measures mandatory in all federal agencies and for government employees.     Economic data US. The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 900 thousand, which is 26 thousand less than the week before and 10 thousand less than predicted by analysts. According to the results of the primary assessment of the PMI business activity index in January, the indicator increased by 2.7 points and amounted to 58.0. Of the indicators that make up the index, business activity in the service sector was 2.7 points higher, and the state of the manufacturing sector increased by 2 points. Eurozone. According to the results of the primary assessment of the PMI business activity index in January, the indicator decreased by 1.6 points and amounted to 47.5. Of the indicators that make up the index, business activity in the service sector was 1.4 points lower, and the state of the manufacturing sector fell 0.5 points. The consumer price index in December rose by 0.3% versus November, while the annual inflation was -0.3%. The growth of the core inflation rate excluding food and energy in December amounted to 0.2% y/y. China. GDP in the fourth quarter grew by 2.6% relative to the third quarter, while yearly GDP growth (relative to the fourth quarter of 2019) amounted to 6.5%. Retail sales in December increased by 4.6% compared to December 2019, while the growth rate of retail trade was expected to be 5.5%. Industrial production in December increased by 7.3% compared to December 2019. The unemployment rate in December remained at the level of November, amounting to 5.2%. Key events this week The Davos Economic Forum will take place this week, this time in an online format. On Wednesday, the US will publish data on orders of durable goods in December, as well as changes in oil reserves for the week, in turn, the Fed will publish its decision on the key interest rate. On Thursday, the US will give a primary estimate of GDP growth in the fourth quarter, as well as publish the number of initial jobless claims for the week. On Friday, data on personal income and expenses of Americans will become known.   The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Weekly financial market overview 11.01.-17.01.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week US President-elect Joe Biden presented a draft of measures to stimulate the American economy for $1.9 trillion. The plan has already been backed by Democrats in Congress. The president-elect's proposal includes a number of measures to stimulate the economy. About $400 billion of this amount is supposed to be allocated to the fight against the virus and for the vaccination campaign, $1 trillion - to provide assistance to the population, the rest - to help businesses especially hard hit during the pandemic. The package includes direct payments to Americans of $1.4 thousand per taxpayer. Payouts will reach $2,000 per person (along with a $600 check approved by Congress in December). Biden also proposes raising the minimum wage to $15 per hour and increasing the amount of weekly unemployment benefits. In accordance with the document, $350 billion is planned to be allocated to support local authorities at the state level. $170 billion should go to higher education institutions. The plan also includes measures to support small businesses. In addition, Biden proposes to allocate $50 billion for the COVID-19 infection testing program, and $20 billion for the national vaccination program. The head of the federal state of North Rhine-Westphalia Armin Laschet was elected as the leader of the Christian Democratic Union. The head of the ruling party is a potential candidate for the post of German chancellor, elections to the Bundestag will be held in September. The majority of the delegates at the meeting of the German Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party voted for the head of the federal state of North Rhine-Westphalia Armin Laschet to become the new party leader. 521 people voted for his candidacy, another 466 delegates supported the former leader of the faction Friedrich Merz. Four people abstained. In total, three people applied for this post, the chairman of the Bundestag Foreign Policy Committee Norbert Röttgen dropped out of the race in the first round. The results must be officially confirmed by mail voting. Until 2018, the party was led by Angela Merkel, after her - by Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, but the latter in February 2020 announced her decision to resign and refuse to fight for the post of German chancellor.     Economic data US. Consumer price index in December rose by 0.4% versus November, while the annual inflation rate was 1.4%. The growth of the core inflation rate excluding food and energy in December amounted to 1.6% y/y. The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 965 thousand, which is 181 thousand more than the week before and 170 thousand more than predicted by analysts. Retail sales fell 0.7% in December versus November, while retail sales were expected to remain at the November level. In turn, excluding data on gasoline and car sales from the indicator, retail sales in December decreased by 2.9%. China. The consumer price index in December rose by 0.2% versus November, while the annual inflation was 0.7%. The trade surplus in December reached a record high of $78.14 billion. Exports in December increased by 18.1% compared to December 2019, while imports grew by 6.5% over the same period. Key events this week On Monday, China is to publish data on GDP growth in the fourth quarter, as well as industrial production, retail trade and unemployment in December. The inauguration of the new US President Joe Biden will take place on Wednesday. On Thursday, the US will report on the number of initial jobless claims for the week and the ECB will publish its decision on the key rate. On Friday, the level of business activity in January will be published in the Eurozone and the United States, where the change in oil reserves for the week will also become known.     The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Weekly financial market overview 04.01.-10.01.

  Konstantins Goluzins, CFA Head of Asset Management Phone.: (+371) 6700 0456 E-mail: trust@bib.eu LINKEDIN PROFILE   Main events of the previous week Debate on the results of the US presidential election, held at the Congress building in Washington on January 6, was interrupted by riots near the Capitol. Supporters of the current President Donald Trump, after his speech at a rally in the United States capital, broke through the barriers to the Capitol and clashed with police and guards. The demonstrators managed to enter the building. The congressmen were evacuated. A few hours after the riots, the building of the US Congress again came under the control of the authorities. Debate of the election results resumed. Senate Democratic and Republican leaders Chuck Schumer and Mitch McConnell condemned the storming of the Capitol. Schumer called the incident a stain on the country that will not be easy to wash off and McConnell added that the Senate will not be intimidated. After the storming of the Capitol by supporters of US President Donald Trump, the Democratic congressmen intend to initiate a second procedure for impeachment of the president. Democrats will submit a corresponding initiative in the House of Representatives of the US Congress on January 11. Lieu, who is pushing for the resolution, said a plenary vote is expected next week, but he and his associates prefer Trump to resign voluntarily or that US Vice President Mike Pence takes steps in this direction. The draft resolution accuses Trump of incitement to riot and describes him as a threat to national security, democracy and the constitution.     Economic data US. The number of initial jobless claims for the week was registered in the amount of 787 thousand, which is 3 thousand less than the week before and 13 thousand less than predicted by analysts. The unemployment rate in December remained at the same level at 6.7%, and the number of the non-farm payrolls fell by 140 thousand, contrary to expectations of an increase of 71 thousand jobs. Eurozone. The consumer price index in December rose by 0.3% against November, while the annual inflation rate was -0.3%. The growth of the core inflation rate, excluding food and energy, amounted to 0.2% y/y in December. The unemployment rate in November fell by 0.1 percentage points and amounted to 8.3%. Key events this week On Monday, December inflation figures will be published in China. On Wednesday, data on the growth of prices, as well as changes in oil reserves for the week will be published in the United States. On Thursday, China will publish figures on the trade balance for December, and the US will know the number of initial jobless claims for the week. On Friday, the US will release data on retail trade and industrial production for December.   The information provided herewith has an informative nature. This information cannot be regarded as an offer or recommendation for purchase, storage or sale of securities, or as an investment recommendation, an investment survey or a consultation on investments, or a recommendation to entrust management of your assets to the specific investment manager. The Client is fully aware and undertakes all risks involved in the investment. This information is prepared by AS Baltic International Bank.

Baltic International Bank becomes a European Company (Societas Europaea).

Conversion of Baltic International Bank (hereinafter referred to as the Company) from a Joint Stock Company (JSC) into a European Company (SE) was registered in the Commercial Register of the Republic of Latvia on December 21 of this year with a view to reinforcing the international dimension of the Company and promoting its international recognition in the European Union among existing and potential clients of the Company as well as among other international providers of banking and financial services. The name of the Company after the conversion is Baltic International Bank SE; in addition, the current corporate structure and governance have been preserved. The registered office of the Company after the conversion remains unchanged: 43 Kaleju Street, Riga, LV-1050, Latvia; its head office address is 6 Grecinieku Street, Riga, LV-1050, Latvia. The composition of the members of the Supervisory Board and the Management Board of the Company has not changed. The members of the Management Board and the Supervisory Board of the Company will continue to work under the same conditions as before, in compliance with the Charter of the Company, the Regulations of the Management Board of the Company and the Regulations of the Supervisory Board of the Company currently in force as well as other regulatory documents. The conversion does not affect the share capital of the Company and the rights of shareholders: the shareholders retain the same number of shares as prior to the conversion as well as all the rights vested in shareholders in accordance with law. The Company continues to conduct business as before.

Visitation Guidelines

Dear Clients, Please note that entry to Bank for our visitors by pre-arranged appointment only. You must wear face coverings (medical or non-medical masks), just like in any other indoor settings. We therefore encourage you to use remote banking services to the extent possible. Please consider whether there is a need for your physical presence.

LIBOR Benchmark Interest Rate Replaced in Agreements

By the end of 2021, Latvian bank contracts which use the LIBOR (London Interbank Offered Rate) short-term interest rate index as a benchmark will be changed and replaced with alternative indices (benchmark rates) such as EURIBOR. In a loan agreement, the bank lends and the client borrows money. An interest rate is set for the use of the loan, because the bank borrows this money for a set fee from investors, the financial market or interbank loans. Therefore, loan agreements have a benchmark rate which reflects the price of the money loaned to the bank, and the bank’s added interest rate, which reflects the bank’s expenses and risk. Historically, the benchmark rates have been linked to indices whose names include IBOR (Interbank Offered Rate). A European Union regulation on indices used as benchmarks in financial instruments and financial agreements, or for measuring the results of investment funds, the Benchmarks Regulation, was published in 2016 and applied in 2018. This regulation sets the requirements with which a benchmark rate must comply in order for it to apply to a loan agreement, including after the regulation comes into force. Meanwhile, a transition period was set for replacing those benchmark rates which do not comply with the requirements set out in the regulation. The regulation was set to avoid the risk of manipulation of benchmark rate setting methods in international financial markets, which negatively impacts both significant market participants and financial institutions in general, as well as all households. Latvian banks are developing solutions for their clients to successfully replace LIBOR in loan contracts where the aforementioned rate is used as the benchmark rate. Solutions developed and offered by the bank may vary, which is why Finance Latvia and its members will continue to explain the replacement of LIBOR with other benchmark rates to borrowers. Most frequently, the LIBOR EUR rate will be replaced with the EURIBOR EUR rate, but with regards to loans in US dollars, banks will most likely offer to refinance loans from USD to EUR, thus applying the EURIBOR EUR rate as the benchmark rate. For clients who receive their income in Euro, this will reduce the currency risk resulting from a difference in the currencies of the client’s income and loan agreement. We ask clients to be understanding, and to contact their bank’s financial consultant if they have any questions.

Baltic International Bank joins the Latvian Startup Association Startin.LV

Having regard to the role of startups in the overall development of the national economy, the importance of providing support to this sector and the prospects offered by joint work in the development of the startup culture, Baltic International Bank has become a member of the Association. “As a partner and mentor, the Bank is interested in the development of startups, and this also fits within the priorities of the Bank’s strategy: to be a financial partner for small and medium-sized Latvian companies, to use and support innovative financial solutions and to promote capital market development,” says Dace Dūklava – Kokina, Head of Strategic and Business Development. Commenting on the accession of Baltic International Bank to the Association, Jānis Rozenblats, Chairman of the Board of the Association, points out: “The Latvian Startup Association represents over 70 startups, investors and other industry players. Our goal is to strengthen the local ecosystem, help existing companies and promote the formation of new startups in Latvia. We have already established successful cooperation with banks in Latvia and we are glad that Baltic International Bank has joined the list!” The Latvian Startup Association brings together startups and their associations based on common values, with the aim of representing joint interests, speaking with one voice and educating the public about startups in Latvia.

Baltic International Bank closes the first half of the year with a profit of 274 thousand euro

Baltic International Bank has closed the first half of this year with a profit of 274 thousand euro. In Q2 2020, the Bank continued to be active, strengthening its position as a local capital bank, improving its operational performance and resuming lending. Viktors Bolbats, Chairman of the Management Board of the Bank, points out: “I am pleased that, despite the time full of challenges in the global economy, Baltic International Bank has closed the first half of the year with a profit. It is important that in Q2 we achieved the goal set for the Bank at the beginning of the year, and that is to resume lending. In the first half of the year, we approved loans totalling 5 million euro, and we see that lending to small and medium-sized enterprises, which is in the focus of Baltic International Bank, is significant for stabilising the national economy as a whole. The capacity of local capital banks allows them to understand the needs of domestic entrepreneurs and respond quickly, providing the necessary business support mechanisms for domestic entrepreneurs.” In the reporting period, the Bank strengthened its capital adequacy ratio, which reached 17.37%, and also maintained a high liquidity coverage ratio at 145%. The Bank closed the first half of 2020 with the following financial results (data on the Group is given in brackets): Profit: EUR 274 thousand (EUR 217 thousand); Total capital ratio (TCR): 17.37% (17.09%); Liquidity coverage ratio (LCR): 145%; Assets: EUR 201.05 million (EUR 200.72 million). As of 30 June 2020, the total customer funds in the Bank amounted to EUR 367 million (Annex 1) and assets under management reached EUR 70 million (EUR 70 million). The value of financial instruments in brokerage service was EUR 132 million (EUR 132 million). In Q2 2020, the net fee and commission income grew by 0.6% (0.6%) on a year-on-year basis and totalled EUR 4.22 million (EUR 4.22 million). In percentage terms, the increase was up to 64.6% (64.7%). The Bank’s high-quality liquid assets (assets carrying investment-grade credit rating and claims on the Bank of Latvia) totalled EUR 108 million (EUR 108 million) or 54% (54%) of the total assets. Investments in government bonds amounted to EUR 15.26 million (EUR 15.26 million) or 8% (8%) of the total assets. The Bank maintains a well-diversified structure of liquid assets represented by bonds (14%), claims on credit institutions (6%), claims on the Bank of Latvia (77%) and cash (3%). The liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) was 145%. The net stable funding ratio (NSFR), characterising the availability of a stable funding profile in relation to the composition of assets and off-balance sheet activities, reached 160%. As the Bank continued to implement its asset quality improvement and capital strengthening programme, as of 30 June 2020, the Bank’s Tier 1 capital ratio reached 14.66% (14.33%), while the total capital ratio (TCR) was 17.37% (17.09%), which substantially exceeds the overall capital requirement ratio of 13.50%. As of 30 June 2020, the Bank’s own funds totalled EUR 21.33 million (EUR 20.68 million). In the reporting period, for the second consecutive year, the Bank was awarded the highest scoring category – Platinum Category – on the annual Sustainability Index, confirming the compliance of the company’s activities with the principles of sustainability. The Platinum Category is awarded to companies that have fully integrated corporate governance into their operations and in which responsible persons have been appointed at both the managerial and executive levels. “It is an honour to become a winner in the Platinum Category for the second time, and simultaneously it is a confirmation that the concept of sustainability in the Bank’s operations is not merely a short-term phenomenon, but also a carefully thought-out and implemented strategy in accordance with the principles of ESG. Environmental sustainability, good governance and social issues are the issues that we have worked on persistently for a long time, transforming Baltic International Bank into a modern investment bank and introducing ESG principles at all levels of activity,” says Viktors Bolbats, Chairman of the Management Board the Bank. This year again, the Bank traditionally supported the ceremony of presenting the Annual Latvian Literary Award (LALIGABA) in the first half of the year and also continued work within the project Bibliotēka (Library) aimed at promoting reading. In the first half of the year, the Bank also carried on with the reconstruction of the Kalēju Quarter, renovating the complex of buildings between Kalēju and Vecpilsētas Streets. The financial report of Baltic International Bank for the 1st half-year is available here.

Baltic International Bank becomes a partner in a real estate development project in Old Riga

Baltic International Bank has become a partner and investor in an ambitious real estate project at 16 Smilšu Street, Old Riga. The project will be implemented in cooperation with partners, the brand A&B Apartment Inn Balticum of the company A Consulting SIA. Both small and larger apartments will be available for rent and purchase, depending on the interests and needs of the clients, after the renovation in the complex of three buildings, located on one of the main streets of the Old Town. In the words of Viktors Bolbats, Chairman of the Management Board of Baltic International Bank: “The real estate segment, especially the development of Old Riga, is a close concern of the Bank, since our office buildings are located here, and we are also working on the reconstruction of Kalēju Quarter. At the same time, the project at 16 Smilšu Street will become another step in the Bank’s operations aimed at developing this part of the Old Town and real estate together with partners, while providing construction specialists with new jobs, as well as expanding and supplementing the real estate market with a quality offer. This is a very beautiful complex of buildings, and after the completion of construction work, we will be able to offer a renovated, tasteful residence near a park, with all necessary urban infrastructure to anyone interested”. During the implementation of the project, Baltic International Bank will work in partnership with the entrepreneur Aleksandrs Zindmans, owner of the A&B Apartment Inn Balticum brand: “Riga and Old Riga play a special role in my life, and I am glad that Baltic International Bank has become a partner with which we will be able to carry out work on the renovation and reconstruction of this property. We estimate that after the completion of the work, the market will be supplemented with apartments ranging from ​​27 square metres, which are more suitable for young and ambitious people, for whom this is likely to be their first home, to spacious apartments of up to 100 square metres.” After reconstruction, the building will be available to those interested at the end of 2021. Baltic International Bank is currently actively implementing renovation works in Old Riga between Kalēju Street and Vecpilsētas Square – in Kalēju Quarter, where it is planned to invest EUR 12 million over five years. [gallery columns="8" link="file" size="large" ids="36871,36880,36868,36874,36865,36862"]

Global Finance names Baltic International Bank as the Best Digital Bank in Latvia

Baltic International Bank has been announced a winner of World’s Best Digital Bank Awards 2020 by Global Finance and recognised as the Best Digital Bank in Latvia. “We are pleased and honoured that our work has been appreciated at the international level! This victory is yet another indication that the development strategy chosen by the Bank was correct and that we have created the product our clients need. The title of the Best Digital Bank in Latvia is additional encouragement to continue along the path of active work on improving digital services, thinking about the interests and needs of our customers,” says Jānis Osis, Head of Digital Channel Development of Baltic International Bank. Winning Round One of World’s Best Digital Bank Awards 2020 and receiving recognition as the Best Digital Bank in the country makes it possible to continue participating in Round Two of the competition in which Baltic International Bank aims for the title of the Best Digital Bank in Central and Eastern Europe. In April this year, Baltic International Bank introduced the new Internet Banking, offering improved functionality, increased user friendliness as well as updated security solutions. The Internet Banking of Baltic International Bank provides for multilevel signing of payments and multilevel approval of applications as well as for using the function of instant payments, which can be selected from the list of beneficiaries. A smart payment form that adapts itself depending on the information entered by the customer has also been introduced. To process several payments in a quick and easy manner, the Bank has implemented payment import and payment summaries export, a search function and simultaneous approval of several payments.  Over the twenty-one years of its existence, World’s Best Digital Bank Awards has become one of the most prestigious competitions, and receiving an award in any segment of the competition is considered one of the highest recognitions in the industry, demonstrating excellence in digital financial services.

Baltic International Bank issued a loan of EUR 1.2 million for a real estate renovation project

Continuing the development of the lending segment, Baltic International Bank issued a loan in the amount of EUR 1.2 million for a real estate development project at 63 Dzirnavu Street, Riga. The project provides for the renovation of residential buildings and further income-generating activities through the sales and rental of modern apartments. The Bank’s funding will be used to renovate the building’s façade and interior decoration, resulting in the development of 59 apartments. This project involves the shaping of apartments for which the developer and the Bank see potential in terms of sales or rental under the current real estate market conditions. “The financing provided will not only enable the creation of jobs for the employees involved in the development of the project and the reconstruction of the building, but also contribute to the improvement of the urban environment as well as increase the supply of the rental market in the capital. Crediting support for the segment of small and medium-sized enterprises is one of the priorities of Baltic International Bank’s operating strategy, and 5 million euro was approved for the issuing of loans in the first half of the year,” Viktors Bolbats, Chairman of the Management Board of Baltic International Bank, points out. Commenting on the transaction, Mārcis Dobrājs, real estate developer and representative of D63 SIA, emphasises: “It is gratifying that even under the current market conditions there are banks that see the opportunity of implementing promising projects and are ready for strategic cooperation with entrepreneurs”. As previously reported, Baltic International Bank closed the first half of this year with a profit of 273 thousand euro.

Small and medium-sized enterprises can receive support to access capital markets

Baltic International Bank invites small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to apply for the attraction of financing via stock exchange as part of the European Union funds support program “Support for attraction of financing for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in capital markets”. Aim of the program is to help SMEs in Latvia to attract financing for their development via capital markets, allowing the enterprises to boost their international competitiveness and promote capital markets development of Latvia. This is the first program of this type in Baltic region. Bank offers to provide emission organizer services – develop debt securities provisions, prepare emission prospectus – documents required for the registry of emission in the authorised institutions, organize cooperation of the issuer with the stock exchange, as well as secure technical base for the performance of debt securities transactions. We are offering analytical and informative materials for the attraction of financing as well as maintaining of relations with investors both during the emission preparation period and also after the issuance of bonds in the secondary market. Baltic International Bank, Head of Corporate Finance Oto Davidovs explains: “Capital market development and bond issue of the enterprise is one of the sources of receiving external financing and for many years already it is used all around the world as an efficient and beneficial alternative to attract financing. It is very good solution for the companies with the growth ambitions exceeding the financing attraction possibilities banks can offer.” In comparison to Western Europe capital market of the Baltic countries is in its early development stage, although I have to emphasize that lately market can be characterized with rapid growth and bond issue as a tool for the receiving of the development financing for the company is growing in popularity.Oto Davidovs   In the frame of the European Union funds development period support program will be implemented as the pilot project and the total initially available financing is planned in the amount of EUR 1’ 000’ 000, meaning, EUR 800’ 000 EUR for the support of issuing of shares and EUR 200’ 000 EUR for the support of debt securities (bond issue). It is planned that open tender for the attraction of financing will be organized quarterly. Administrator of the program is Central Finance and Contracting Agency (CFLA). Support will be provided for the covering of the following preparation costs: Service costs of the organizer of emission (investment bank); Costs of preparing the emission prospectus or the securities registration documents; Costs of Due Diligence; Consulting costs of legal, financial, taxes, auditors, certified consultants. Support of SMEs is issued as a form of grants covering 50% from the eligible costs but not more than EUR 100’ 000 EUR for one applicant in the event of issuing of shares and not more than EUR 20’ 000 in the event of issuing the debt securities (bonds).

Valeri Belokon: The existence of our nation in 200 years depends on literature

Valeri Belokon, the main shareholder of Baltic International Bank and the long-standing patron of Latvian literature, who also supports the current project ‘Library’ aimed at promoting reading, believes that the existence of the literary industry is of great importance for our entire nation. Preserving literature, we preserve the Latvian culture and language. What do we leave behind, apart from language? We leave the thoughts of our people. If we lose the word, we lose the thought. Books should be published to enable us to keep a big, complete, philosophical thought.Valeri Belokon   In the seventh interview in a series of video stories within the framework of the ‘Library’ project, Valeri Belokon gives a peek into his private library and tells about his personal motivation prompting him to provide support. The books have everything that we need for our life and for the life of our soul,’ he says. ‘Support to literature is my vocation and the voice of my heart. A person can support literature only if he or she understands it and needs it. It is not that literature goes with hat in hand.Valeri Belokon   The patron also expresses his views on the role of literature in the preservation of the Latvian language. ‘We are in a situation where we need to maintain our language and culture. I believe that this is what we are doing at the moment and what definitely have to keep doing.’ In an interview with Baltic International Bank, the main shareholder points out, through laughter and, at the same time, very seriously, that all the answers to questions can be found in books. ‘Nowadays, people think that Google has all the answers, but I have to disappoint them by saying that this is actually not true. Books provide all the answers,’ he says. Watch full interview The full interview with Valeri Belokon is available on the home page of the ‘Library’ project at www.manabiblioteka.lv. There you can also find six other interviews published before: with writers Nora Ikstena and Māris Bērziņš, Zbigņevs Stankēvičs, metropolitan archbishop of the Roman Catholic Church, Andris Vilks, director of the National Library of Latvia (NLL), Kārina Pētersone, director of the Latvian National Library Support Society, and Vaira Vike-Freiberga, former president of Latvia. In the coming months, it is also planned to publish an interview with Uldis Bērziņš, poet and translator, Imants Lancmanis, Latvian art historian and heraldry specialist, and Sanita Stinkule, head of the Department of Ethnography of the National History Museum of Latvia. The project ‘Library’ has been created by Baltic International Bank, a long-standing patron of Latvian literature. The ‘Library’ initiative proposes to tell stories about the importance of literature in people’s lives, stories about personal libraries, their content, emotional and professional value. The development of Latvian literature is one of the long-term public support endeavours of Baltic International Bank. Believing that knowledge of culture and history of one's country is the basis of the national identity of each nation, Baltic International Bank financially supports the publishing of books of national importance and implementation of literary projects.

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